AUD/USD Forecast — 12 September 2026
Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook
Weekly Fundamental Overview:
The AUD/USD currency pair faces a significant week driven by major US economic data releases and central bank announcements. As market participants evaluate consumer activity and interest rate expectations in the US, AUD/USD remains sensitive to shifts in global market sentiment and US Dollar volatility.
Price Action:
On the daily chart, AUD/USD recently pulled back from a high near 0.72364 to close at 0.71564. The recent price action indicates a period of consolidation following prior gains, with price hovering near short-term moving averages.
Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands display a middle band at 0.71597, placing the last AUD/USD close of 0.71564 right near the center line. The upper Bollinger band stands at 0.72407, serving as immediate upside boundary, while the lower band rests at 0.70788.
RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 53.68, reflecting neutral market conditions with a slight upside bias and ample room before entering overbought territory.
MACD: The MACD indicator shows a positive value of 0.00386 on the daily timeframe, pointing to mild underlying bullish momentum despite the recent session pullback.
Support and Resistance:
Technical support for AUD/USD is established at 0.68639, offering a key downside reference level, while immediate technical resistance sits at 0.72364.
News to Watch for AUDUSD This Week:
- Core Retail Sales m/m: Measures core consumer spending shifts which can impact US Dollar strength and trade dynamics for AUD/USD.
- Retail Sales m/m: Highlights overall consumer demand trends that influence broader US economic health and market sentiment.
- FOMC Economic Projections: Provides insights into interest rate expectations and economic forecasts that affect the US Dollar.
- FOMC Statement: Offers monetary policy guidance and economic commentary that directly influences market volatility.
- Federal Funds Rate: Sets the baseline benchmark interest rate that can trigger sharp revaluations across AUD/USD.
- FOMC Press Conference: Offers live commentary from central bank officials regarding economic conditions and future monetary decisions.
- Unemployment Claims: Reflects weekly labor market conditions and offers clues on US employment resilience.
Weekly Outlook and Consideration:
The AUD/USD pair enters the week in a neutral-to-bullish posture, with daily RSI at 53.68 and price trading right around the Bollinger middle band of 0.71597. A sustained breakout above the resistance level at 0.72364 could pave the way toward the upper Bollinger band around 0.72407. Conversely, if seller pressure increases, initial downside momentum may push prices toward lower support zones, with major structural support located at 0.68639.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.




