CAD/JPY Forecast — 20 September 2026
Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook
Weekly Fundamental Overview:
The CAD/JPY pair remains influenced by macroeconomic trends across Canada and Japan as traders monitor central bank policy stances and growth prospects. Economic performance indicators from Canada and inflation signals from Japan are key drivers shaping trader sentiment and cross-currency flows in the near term.
Price Action:
On the daily (D1) chart, CAD/JPY closed at 111.484 after bouncing off a recent low near 110.524. Recent price action indicates a retracement from prior highs near 116.454, with the pair striving to establish stability following a period of persistent selling pressure.
Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: The D1 Bollinger Bands show a middle line at 113.186, with the upper band at 116.704 and lower band at 109.669. With price trading at 111.484 between the middle and lower bands, the technical setup reflects prevailing downside momentum within the expanded volatility envelope.
RSI: The 14-day RSI is currently at 36.29, holding in bearish territory but remaining above the oversold boundary of 30. This signals weak upward momentum while leaving room for potential temporary consolidation.
MACD: The MACD indicator is currently reading -0.892, remaining below the signal line and entrenched in negative territory. This reading highlights ongoing bearish momentum on the daily chart, though stabilizing price bars could slow down further downside trajectory.
Support and Resistance:
Key technical levels for CAD/JPY show immediate support at 110.524, which served as a recent floor for price declines. On the resistance side, 116.454 acts as a critical ceiling that buyers would need to break to shift the broader trend back upward.
News to Watch for CADJPY This Week:
- GDP m/m: Monthly measure of Canadian economic activity that offers critical insight into growth dynamics and potential central bank policy actions.
- Tokyo Core CPI y/y: Key inflation indicator for Japan's capital city that provides early clues on national price trends and monetary policy direction.
Weekly Outlook and Consideration:
CAD/JPY approaches the new trading week with a cautious tone following a close at 111.484. Momentum indicators such as the RSI at 36.29 and MACD at -0.892 remain aligned to the downside while price trades beneath the middle Bollinger Band of 113.186. A sustained push above current levels could target the major resistance near 116.454, whereas a fall below support at 110.524 could direct price action toward the lower Bollinger Band around 109.669.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided for CAD/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.



