AUD/USD Forecast — 3 October 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

Fundamental drivers for AUD/USD (AUDUSD) this week center around key United States economic releases that could sway currency valuation and broader market sentiment. Significant attention will be on the ISM Services PMI and the FOMC Meeting Minutes, alongside Unemployment Claims and preliminary readings for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations. Shifts in US economic activity and monetary policy considerations highlighted in these releases may guide market participants evaluating the pair.

Price Action:

AUD/USD (AUDUSD) has exhibited a persistent downward trajectory across recent daily sessions, sliding from levels above 0.7200 down to the latest daily close at 0.69298. Consecutive lower closes highlight consistent selling interest, leaving the pair testing lower ground relative to its broader daily range.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: Daily Bollinger Bands show a middle band baseline at 0.70969, an upper band at 0.72722, and a lower band at 0.69216. AUD/USD is currently pressing directly against its lower band, closing at 0.69298, which reflects pronounced downward momentum and band expansion.

RSI: The 14-period Daily RSI is currently reading 25.57. This level places AUD/USD in oversold territory below the standard 30 benchmark, signaling strong downside pressure while remaining an indicator of extended conditions rather than a guaranteed rebound.

MACD: The daily MACD for AUD/USD stands at -0.00428, remaining in negative territory. This negative value indicates that downward momentum continues to dominate price action on the daily timeframe.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels for AUD/USD (AUDUSD) are defined by support at 0.69025 and primary resistance at 0.72364. The middle Bollinger Band at 0.70969 also acts as an intermediate technical reference point on the daily chart.

News to Watch for AUDUSD This Week:

ISM Services PMI: This release measures activity in the services sector and provides an updated snapshot of overall business health.
FOMC Meeting Minutes: The central bank records detail policy deliberations and present perspectives regarding future interest rate paths.
Unemployment Claims: The weekly count of jobless filings provides timely insight into labor market trends.
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: This indicator measures anticipated price changes from the consumer perspective.
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: The preliminary confidence survey reflects household views on personal finances and broader economic conditions.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly outlook for AUD/USD (AUDUSD) on the daily chart remains influenced by bearish technical momentum, with the pair closing at 0.69298. Prices hover near the lower Bollinger Band at 0.69216 and close to immediate support at 0.69025. Although a 14-day RSI of 25.57 highlights oversold conditions and MACD sits at -0.00428, overhead resistance at 0.72364 remains distant. Potential market volatility may develop around high-impact US economic events, including the ISM Services PMI and FOMC Meeting Minutes.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

AUD/USD D1 technical analysis chart — AUD/USD D1 Technical Analysis for 10.03.2026

AUD/USD Forecast — 27 September 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The fundamental environment for AUD/USD is influenced by central bank communications from Australia alongside key economic activity indicators from the United States. Traders are closely monitoring the economic outlook from the Reserve Bank of Australia and US manufacturing trends to gauge potential shifting interest rate expectations and broad risk sentiment across global currency markets.

Price Action:

On the Daily (D1) chart, AUD/USD (AUDUSD) has exhibited persistent downward movement over recent trading sessions. Price action shows a decline from recent higher levels above 0.7200, eventually bringing the currency pair down to close at 0.70109, maintaining a clear short-term bearish tone.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands display a middle band around 0.71440, with the upper band positioned at 0.72537 and the lower band at 0.70343. The latest daily close of 0.70109 has breached below the lower band, signaling intense downside selling momentum and potential extension past standard volatility boundaries.

RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 32.49. Moving close to the oversold threshold of 30, the indicator highlights strong prevailing downward momentum while suggesting that heavy selling could eventually trigger technical consolidation.

MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line registers at -0.00129. Remaining in negative territory below the zero line, the MACD reinforces the ongoing bearish momentum currently dominating daily price developments.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical benchmarks for AUD/USD identify primary support at 0.69052, which serves as a major downside target should selling continue. On the upside, overhead resistance is situated at 0.72364, marking a significant barrier for any prospective bullish recoveries.

News to Watch for AUDUSD This Week:

RBA Press Conference: Provides insights into the monetary policy stance and economic projections of the Australian central bank.
ISM Manufacturing PMI: Measures operational health in the US manufacturing sector to offer direction on US economic strength.
ISM Manufacturing Prices: Highlights inflation dynamics within US manufacturing supply chains that could influence monetary policy.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly technical outlook for AUD/USD remains leaning toward the downside based on Daily chart signals. The pair closed at 0.70109, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band (0.70343) while supported by a negative MACD of -0.00129 and an RSI reading of 32.49. Continued selling pressure may drive price action toward the primary support level at 0.69052. Conversely, if oversold conditions prompt a corrective bounce, initial upside momentum could aim back toward the middle Bollinger Band near 0.71440 before approaching the main resistance level at 0.72364. Upcoming economic updates like the RBA Press Conference and US manufacturing reports will be critical factors determining market direction.

AUD/USD Forecast — 20 September 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

AUD/USD fundamental dynamics continue to be shaped by interest rate expectations and economic indicators from both Australia and the United States. Key domestic factors include monetary policy announcements and inflation metrics, while US employment data and price indices provide critical direction for the exchange rate.

Price Action:

On the daily (D1) chart, AUD/USD recently experienced a retreat from the 0.7216 area toward 0.7086 before closing at 0.71088. Recent daily candles show short-term selling pressure after the pair was unable to sustain momentum above the 0.7200 handle.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Daily Bollinger Bands feature a middle band at 0.71660, an upper band at 0.72342, and a lower band at 0.70978. Trading at 0.71088, AUD/USD is positioned near the lower band, reflecting recent downside momentum below the 20-day moving average.

RSI: The 14-day RSI stands at 45.61, placing AUD/USD in a neutral zone below the 50 level. This suggests modest bearish momentum without signaling oversold conditions.

MACD: The daily MACD indicator registers a value of 0.00112. Although remaining slightly above the zero line, the reading shows diminishing bullish momentum following the recent pullback from recent highs.

Support and Resistance:

Key daily technical levels reveal primary support at 0.68639 and upper resistance at 0.72364. Additionally, the lower Bollinger band around 0.70978 provides immediate technical structure.

News to Watch for AUDUSD This Week:

Cash Rate: This decision directly impacts borrowing costs and yields for the Australian dollar.
RBA Rate Statement: Provides insights into monetary policy outlook and economic evaluation from the central bank.
RBA Press Conference: Offers clarification on recent rate decisions and future policy trajectories.
CB Consumer Confidence: Reflects US consumer sentiment which can influence consumer spending and dollar valuation.
JOLTS Job Openings: Indicates labor market demand and economic strength in the United States.
CPI y/y: Measures annual inflation pressure in Australia affecting interest rate expectations.
Trimmed Mean CPI m/m: Tracks core inflation trends by excluding extreme price shifts.
CPI m/m: Signals monthly changes in consumer goods and services prices.
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: Estimates private sector payroll additions prior to official employment data.
Core PCE Price Index m/m: Serves as a key inflation metric tracked by the Federal Reserve.
Final GDP q/q: Reflects the overall economic growth rate for the United States.
ISM Manufacturing PMI: Assesses activity levels within the US manufacturing sector.
Average Hourly Earnings m/m: Tracks wage growth trends which influence inflationary pressure.
Non-Farm Employment Change: Evaluates job creation outside the farming sector as a major indicator of US labor health.
Unemployment Rate: Highlights the percentage of the US workforce that is unemployed.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

AUD/USD enters the week trading near 0.71088, positioned below its daily middle Bollinger band of 0.71660 and close to the lower band at 0.70978. With an RSI of 45.61 and a MACD of 0.00112, technical indicators align with a neutral-to-soft tone. A sustained move above 0.71660 could encourage a retest of resistance at 0.72364, while continued pressure below the middle band keeps focus on support at 0.68639. Upcoming economic releases from both economies are likely to drive near-term directional bias.

AUD/USD Forecast — 12 September 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The AUD/USD currency pair faces a significant week driven by major US economic data releases and central bank announcements. As market participants evaluate consumer activity and interest rate expectations in the US, AUD/USD remains sensitive to shifts in global market sentiment and US Dollar volatility.

Price Action:

On the daily chart, AUD/USD recently pulled back from a high near 0.72364 to close at 0.71564. The recent price action indicates a period of consolidation following prior gains, with price hovering near short-term moving averages.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands display a middle band at 0.71597, placing the last AUD/USD close of 0.71564 right near the center line. The upper Bollinger band stands at 0.72407, serving as immediate upside boundary, while the lower band rests at 0.70788.

RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 53.68, reflecting neutral market conditions with a slight upside bias and ample room before entering overbought territory.

MACD: The MACD indicator shows a positive value of 0.00386 on the daily timeframe, pointing to mild underlying bullish momentum despite the recent session pullback.

Support and Resistance:

Technical support for AUD/USD is established at 0.68639, offering a key downside reference level, while immediate technical resistance sits at 0.72364.

News to Watch for AUDUSD This Week:

Core Retail Sales m/m: Measures core consumer spending shifts which can impact US Dollar strength and trade dynamics for AUD/USD.
Retail Sales m/m: Highlights overall consumer demand trends that influence broader US economic health and market sentiment.
FOMC Economic Projections: Provides insights into interest rate expectations and economic forecasts that affect the US Dollar.
FOMC Statement: Offers monetary policy guidance and economic commentary that directly influences market volatility.
Federal Funds Rate: Sets the baseline benchmark interest rate that can trigger sharp revaluations across AUD/USD.
FOMC Press Conference: Offers live commentary from central bank officials regarding economic conditions and future monetary decisions.
Unemployment Claims: Reflects weekly labor market conditions and offers clues on US employment resilience.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The AUD/USD pair enters the week in a neutral-to-bullish posture, with daily RSI at 53.68 and price trading right around the Bollinger middle band of 0.71597. A sustained breakout above the resistance level at 0.72364 could pave the way toward the upper Bollinger band around 0.72407. Conversely, if seller pressure increases, initial downside momentum may push prices toward lower support zones, with major structural support located at 0.68639.

AUD/USD Forecast — 5 September 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The AUD/USD currency pair remains sensitive to shifts in broad macroeconomic conditions and overall global market sentiment. Economic data releases from the United States, including inflation metrics and labor indicators, continue to play a primary role in directing the short-term trends for AUDUSD.

Price Action:

On the daily chart, AUD/USD recently closed at 0.7199, maintaining a firm upward trajectory over recent sessions. The pair trades near its high of the current move, demonstrating consistent buyer interest as it approaches key resistance.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands report a middle band at 0.7124, an upper band at 0.7221, and a lower band at 0.7028. Price action is currently positioned near the upper band, reflecting ongoing bullish momentum within the channel.

RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently reading 66.37. This indicates solid upside momentum while staying below the formal overbought threshold of 70.

MACD: The daily MACD line stands at 0.0041, holding above the zero line. This positive value highlights sustained bullish sentiment across recent daily trading sessions.

Support and Resistance:

Key daily technical levels for AUD/USD are defined with immediate resistance located at 0.72066 and primary support established at 0.68639.

News to Watch for AUDUSD This Week:

PPI m/m: Reflects changes in producer price inflation which can influence monetary policy expectations.
Core PPI m/m: Measures producer price changes excluding volatile food and energy components to gauge core inflation trends.
Unemployment Claims: Provides timely insight into the state of the US job market and overall economic health.
Core CPI m/m: Tracks underlying consumer inflation shifts excluding food and energy to signal price trends.
CPI y/y: Measures annual consumer inflation trends impacting overall US Dollar purchasing power.
Core CPI y/y: Highlights long-term core consumer price trajectory without energy and food volatility.
CPI m/m: Shows monthly changes in consumer prices that directly affect interest rate projections.
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: Captures consumer outlook regarding future inflation expectations.
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: Offers a snapshot of broader consumer confidence and spending outlook in the economy.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

AUD/USD trades in a firm daily uptrend, closing at 0.7199 and testing resistance at 0.72066. Momentum indicators remain positive, with the RSI at 66.37 and MACD at 0.0041 supporting the recent strength. Price action is near the upper Bollinger Band at 0.7221, pointing to strong buyer presence. Market participants will monitor incoming economic releases for further cues on whether AUDUSD can breach resistance or enter a phase of consolidation.

AUDUSD Forecast

AUD/USD Live Price

AUD/USD Forecast — 3 October 2026

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News to Watch for AUDUSD This Week:

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AUD/USD Forecast — 27 September 2026

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AUD/USD Forecast — 20 September 2026

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AUD/USD Forecast — 12 September 2026

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AUD/USD Forecast — 5 September 2026

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