AUD/CAD Forecast — 20 September 2026
Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook
Weekly Fundamental Overview:
The AUD/CAD pair is set for a key fundamental week, driven by significant monetary policy and economic releases from both Australia and Canada. Upcoming interest rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia alongside Australian inflation metrics will heavily dictate sentiment for the Australian Dollar, while Canadian monthly growth figures provide essential clues regarding the Canadian economy. Market participants will closely monitor these indicators to gauge direction relative to current price levels.
Price Action:
On the daily D1 chart, AUD/CAD closed at 0.99448 after showing gradual upward momentum. Price action remains bounded within a broader technical corridor between support at 0.97524 and resistance at 0.99880. Recent daily candles reflect moderate buying strength as price trades near the upper segment of its short-term range.
Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: AUD/CAD is currently trading above the middle Bollinger Band of 0.99312 and approaching the upper band at 0.99821. The lower band is located at 0.98803. Positioning above the middle baseline signals mild bullish momentum, though proximity to the upper band suggests potential resistance near higher levels.
RSI: The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 55.51. Floating above the neutral 50 level, the indicator reflects stable upside momentum while remaining well below overbought conditions.
MACD: The MACD histogram and signal setup show a positive value of 0.001659. This positive reading indicates that short-term bullish momentum remains intact on the daily time frame, supporting current price levels above the median technical average.
Support and Resistance:
Immediate daily resistance is identified at 0.99880, acting as the key barrier for further upward extension. On the downside, primary technical support sits at 0.97524, serving as a critical safety zone should selling pressure emerge.
News to Watch for AUDCAD This Week:
- Cash Rate: The central bank interest rate decision directly impacts currency yields and overall valuation.
- RBA Rate Statement: Policy statements offer valuable context regarding the future direction of domestic interest rates.
- RBA Press Conference: Live commentary from central bank leadership often generates immediate market volatility.
- GDP m/m: Monthly economic output figures serve as a primary benchmark for Canadian economic health.
- CPI y/y: Key annual inflation figures shape long-term monetary policy expectations.
- Trimmed Mean CPI m/m: Core inflation measurements offer a clearer view of underlying price stability.
- CPI m/m: Short-term inflation trends provide guidance on near-term monetary stance shifts.
Weekly Outlook and Consideration:
The weekly outlook for AUD/CAD leans slightly positive based on daily technical indicators. Trading at 0.99448, the pair resides above the middle Bollinger Band of 0.99312 with an RSI of 55.51 and a positive MACD of 0.001659. Technical traders will monitor whether buyers can challenge major resistance at 0.99880 or if high-impact economic events push the pair back toward support at 0.97524.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/CAD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.



