ETH/USD Forecast — 3 October 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

Broader macroeconomic conditions, interest rate expectations, and shifts in risk appetite continue to influence ETH/USD (ETHUSD). Market participants monitor overall digital asset liquidity alongside key economic releases to gauge general directional sentiment.

Price Action:

ETH/USD closed the latest daily session at 2695.5, consolidating following a prior advance to a high of 2804.97. Daily price action indicates that the pair has held above recent pullbacks, maintaining steady positioning after reaching higher territory.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: Daily Bollinger Bands show the middle band at 2582.32, the upper band at 2822.36, and the lower band at 2342.27. Trading at 2695.5 positions ETH/USD comfortably in the upper half of the envelope above the 20-day moving average.

RSI: The 14-day RSI is currently at 64.62, reflecting solid bullish momentum while remaining beneath overbought boundaries.

MACD: The MACD indicator for ETH/USD currently stands at 111.42, remaining in positive territory and signaling ongoing bullish momentum across the daily timeframe.

Support and Resistance:

Immediate resistance for ETH/USD sits at 2804.97, reinforced by the upper Bollinger Band near 2822.36. On the downside, dynamic support is positioned at the middle band of 2582.32, with primary horizontal support established at 1734.45.

News to Watch for ETHUSD This Week:

  • ISM Services PMI: This survey assesses business activity in the service sector and can drive shifts in overall market risk sentiment.
  • FOMC Meeting Minutes: Insights into Federal Reserve monetary policy debates may influence the US dollar and broader cryptocurrency liquidity.
  • Unemployment Claims: Weekly labor market updates provide indications of employment stability that affect risk asset demand.
  • Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: Revisions to consumer price projections can influence monetary policy expectations and speculative appetite.
  • Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: Confidence metrics offer perspective on household economic views that may impact participation in financial markets.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

ETH/USD (ETHUSD) enters the week with positive technical indicators, highlighted by a daily close of 2695.5, an RSI of 64.62, and a positive MACD of 111.42. Sustained trading above the middle Bollinger Band at 2582.32 could allow buyers to retest the resistance level at 2804.97 and the upper band at 2822.36. Should upside momentum moderate, a corrective retracement could target dynamic support at 2582.32, with 1734.45 serving as the key underlying support marker.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for ETH/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

ETH/USD D1 technical analysis chart
ETH/USD D1 Technical Analysis for 10.03.2026
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