EUR/JPY Forecast — 12 September 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The fundamental context for EUR/JPY is shaped by central bank policy expectations and shifting risk sentiment. Economic announcements from Japan, including interest rate decisions and official statements, remain key focal points that could generate price volatility for the pair. Market participants are monitoring policy commentary to gauge relative strength between the euro and the Japanese yen.

Price Action:

On the daily timeframe, EUR/JPY recently experienced a sharp decline from levels near 185.67 to a low of 177.841 before rebounding slightly to close at 179.306. The rapid downward move reflects significant selling pressure, though the recent bounce off support indicates buyers attempted to stabilize price near lower boundary levels.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands reflect expanding volatility following the strong drop. The middle band sits at 183.597, with the upper band at 188.789 and the lower band at 178.406. EUR/JPY traded close to the lower band at its last close of 179.306, confirming strong bearish price positioning relative to the moving average.

RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 29.01. Entering oversold territory indicates that the recent sell-off was aggressive, which may lead to consolidation or a temporary pullback if selling momentum slows.

MACD: The daily MACD indicator displays strong negative momentum, with a reading of -1.36. Trading below the zero line underscores persistent bearish sentiment across recent daily sessions for EUR/JPY.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels on the daily chart place immediate support at 177.841, matching recent swing lows. Overhead resistance is identified at 187.457, marking a primary barrier should a broader bullish recovery develop.

News to Watch for EURJPY This Week:

Monetary Policy Statement: Official policy details provide clarity on economic assessments and potential monetary policy shifts.
BOJ Press Conference: Executive leadership remarks offer prospective insights regarding future policy decisions and economic outlooks.
BOJ Policy Rate: Rate determinations directly impact underlying yield expectations and currency valuation.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly outlook for EUR/JPY highlights a market navigating strong downside pressure toward key support at 177.841. Technical metrics show an oversold RSI of 29.01 alongside a negative MACD of -1.36, while price trades near the lower Bollinger Band of 178.406. Upcoming policy announcements, including the BOJ Policy Rate release, could determine whether support holds or if further directional moves emerge.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for EUR/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

EUR/JPY D1 technical analysis chart — EUR/JPY D1 Technical Analysis for 09.12.2026

EUR/JPY Forecast — 5 September 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

EUR/JPY fundamental dynamics remain sensitive to monetary policy expectations from the European Central Bank and shifts in Japanese Yen sentiment. Broad yield differentials and risk appetite continue to influence price movements across the pair as market participants monitor central bank communications for guidance on interest rate trajectories.

Price Action:

On the daily (D1) chart, EUR/JPY experienced notable selling pressure in recent sessions, descending from above 185.60 down past 183.909 to close at 181.129. The sharp drop represents a strong short-term bearish swing, pushing price action beneath recent consolidation areas.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands display a middle band at 184.595, an upper band at 187.036, and a lower band at 182.154. The latest close at 181.129 rests beneath the lower band, reflecting expanded downside volatility and a potential short-term stretched condition relative to the mean.

RSI: The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) registers at 29.18, sliding into oversold territory below the 30 threshold. While this underscores strong selling momentum, it also suggests the potential for seller fatigue or corrective pauses.

MACD: The MACD indicator prints at -0.123, remaining in negative territory to reflect active bearish momentum on the daily timeframe following recent downside price movements.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels for EUR/JPY feature immediate support near 179.354, with major resistance situated around 187.457. Dynamic resistance sits near the middle Bollinger Band around 184.595.

News to Watch for EURJPY This Week:

Monetary Policy Statement: This statement outlines the central bank monetary policy stance and can significantly influence euro exchange rates.
Main Refinancing Rate: The benchmark interest rate decision directly impacts borrowing costs and euro sentiment.
ECB Press Conference: Live central bank commentary offers crucial insights into future policy direction and economic expectations.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

EUR/JPY enters the new week under solid bearish momentum after closing at 181.129. With the daily RSI in oversold territory at 29.18 and price trading below the lower Bollinger Band of 182.154, the pair shows strong downside pressure, though a minor rebound toward the 184.595 middle band remains possible if profit-taking emerges. Continued downside traction could lead to a retest of the key support level near 179.354, whereas any significant recovery will encounter resistance toward 187.457.

EUR/JPY Forecast — 29 August 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

EUR/JPY trading activity reflects market focus on upcoming Eurozone inflation data and broader monetary policy signals. Economic indicators from the Eurozone continue to shape sentiment around the Euro, while Japanese Yen dynamics remain tied to overall risk market conditions. Traders evaluate whether economic data will support further upside or prompt a pullback toward established range levels.

Price Action:

The daily chart shows EUR/JPY consolidating near 185.724 following previous swings between lower support levels and higher resistance boundaries. Price action exhibits steady behavior above recent session lows, with minor daily candles indicating potential balanced sentiment between buyers and sellers near the upper boundary of the recent range.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands on the D1 timeframe show a middle band around 183.958, an upper band at 187.040, and a lower band at 180.876. Trading near 185.724 puts price action in the upper half of the band structure, reflecting moderate upward bias while remaining within typical volatility bounds.

RSI: The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 58.54. This reading indicates constructive buyer interest without pushing the currency pair into overbought conditions above 70.

MACD: The MACD indicator prints a positive value of approximately 0.320 on the daily chart. The momentum histogram and main line remain above the zero line, indicating slight bullish momentum in the medium-term price structure.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels identified on the D1 chart include major resistance at 187.457 and primary support at 179.354. Intermediate support also aligns around the Bollinger middle band at 183.958.

News to Watch for EURJPY This Week:

German Prelim CPI m/m: This inflation reading offers early insight into price pressures within Europe's largest economy and may impact Euro market sentiment.
CPI Flash Estimate y/y: The headline inflation figure provides essential data regarding consumer price trends across the broader Eurozone.
Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y: This measure excludes volatile items to give a clearer look at underlying price trends that central bankers monitor closely.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly perspective for EUR/JPY suggests a continuation of consolidated price action with a slight bullish inclination supported by an RSI of 58.54 and a MACD reading of 0.320. As price trades around 185.724, above the Bollinger middle band of 183.958, buyers may target resistance near 187.457 if momentum persists. Conversely, a reversal lower could shift technical attention back toward support around 179.354.

EUR/JPY Forecast — 22 August 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The EUR/JPY currency pair continues to reflect the dynamic between European economic conditions and Japanese monetary policy trends. Shifting rate expectations and general market risk appetite continue to guide the cross’s overall sentiment.

Price Action:

On the daily timeframe, EUR/JPY has demonstrated a recovery from recent lows around 180.873 to settle at a closing price of 185.733. The recent sequence of rising daily closes points to renewed buying interest following a temporary dip.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart places the middle band at 184.0543, the upper band at 187.5571, and the lower band at 180.5515. The latest price of 185.733 resides above the middle band, indicating a push toward the upper band boundary.

RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 59.67. This positions the momentum indicator above the neutral 50 level, showing constructive buying pressure while remaining below overbought thresholds.

MACD: The daily MACD stands at -0.0097, remaining slightly below the zero threshold. Although the value reflects residual downside momentum from earlier pullbacks, recent price action indicates potential stabilization.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels for EUR/JPY are defined by key support at 179.354 and critical overhead resistance at 187.457.

News to Watch for EURJPY This Week:

Tokyo Core CPI y/y: This release offers key insight into Japanese inflation dynamics, which could influence Japanese Yen valuations and central bank policy sentiment.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

EUR/JPY enters the upcoming trading session with a recovery trajectory, holding at 185.733 above its daily Bollinger middle band of 184.0543. With the RSI at 59.67 indicating steady momentum and the MACD at -0.0097 hovering near neutral, price action may attempt to challenge resistance at 187.457. Conversely, a reversal in sentiment could lead to a test of lower support around 179.354.

EUR/JPY Forecast — 15 August 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

Fundamental dynamics for EUR/JPY reflect ongoing shifts in economic expectations between the Eurozone and Japan. Market participants continue to evaluate regional growth indicators alongside central bank stances and broader risk sentiment to gauge overall direction in the cross.

Price Action:

On the Daily (D1) chart, EUR/JPY recently experienced a drop from resistance near 187.46 down toward the 180.87 level before finding buyers. The price has since stabilized around 183.86, signaling a period of consolidation after recent fluctuations.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands indicator on the D1 timeframe reflects a middle band at 184.34, an upper band at 188.19, and a lower band at 180.48. Trading near 183.86 places the pair slightly below the middle band, suggesting potential consolidation near the mid-line.

RSI: The 14-period RSI stands at 48.06. Sitting close to the neutral 50 threshold, this reading indicates a balanced market environment with neither overbought nor oversold conditions dominating.

MACD: The MACD indicator is currently reading -0.51. Remaining in negative territory indicates that bearish momentum lingers on the daily chart, although recent price stabilization indicates potential deceleration in selling pressure.

Support and Resistance:

Crucial daily technical levels place primary support at 179.35 and key resistance at 187.46. The daily middle Bollinger band at 184.34 serves as an immediate dynamic resistance level to monitor.

News to Watch for EURJPY This Week:

French Flash Services PMI: Measures activity in the French services sector and provides insight into overall Eurozone growth.
French Flash Manufacturing PMI: Reflects operational conditions within French manufacturing, influencing sentiment toward the Euro.
German Flash Manufacturing PMI: Tracks health in Germany's industrial sector, offering a critical indicator of Eurozone economic momentum.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly outlook for EUR/JPY remains neutral to cautiously balanced while trading around 183.86. A push above the middle Bollinger band at 184.34 could see price action test the upper resistance level near 187.46. On the other hand, if sellers regain control, a pull back toward key support at 179.35 remains possible. Traders will monitor upcoming economic data releases for further structural directional cues.

EURJPY Forecast

EUR/JPY Live Price

EUR/JPY Forecast — 12 September 2026

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EUR/JPY Forecast — 5 September 2026

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EUR/JPY Forecast — 29 August 2026

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EUR/JPY Forecast — 22 August 2026

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EUR/JPY Forecast — 15 August 2026

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