AUDJPY Forecast

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AUD/JPY

Australian Dollar vs Japanese Yen

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AUD/JPY Live Price

112.55600
+0.35%
Overview Forecast Technical Historical Data Economic Calendar

AUD/JPY Forecast — 5 September 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

Market sentiment for AUD/JPY is driven by shifting interest rate expectations and global risk appetite. Traders continue to monitor economic dynamics in Australia alongside potential policy adjustments in Japan.

Price Action:

The daily chart for AUD/JPY displays a sharp pullback from recent peaks near 114.72, dropping to a recent close of 112.168. Price action indicates active selling pressure following several consecutive downward daily sessions.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands on the daily timeframe show a middle line at 113.326, an upper band at 115.148, and a lower band at 111.504. AUD/JPY has broken below the middle line and is currently trading closer to the lower band.

RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 40.03. This puts AUD/JPY below the neutral 50 level, indicating growing bearish strength while remaining above oversold territory.

MACD: The MACD indicator currently stands at 0.287. Although it remains in positive territory, the recent sharp downward price move indicates waning bullish momentum.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels for AUD/JPY indicate primary support at 109.212 and key resistance at 114.938.

News to Watch for AUDJPY This Week:

  • BOJ Policy Rate: This interest rate decision provides crucial insight into potential monetary policy adjustments affecting market sentiment.
  • BOJ Press Conference: Statements from bank officials can offer key guidance regarding economic outlook and future rate trajectories.
  • Monetary Policy Statement: Detailed policy assessments outline central bank policy directives and influence trading dynamics.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

AUD/JPY faces increased downside pressure following a decline from resistance near 114.938 toward 112.168. With price action trading below the Bollinger middle band of 113.326 and the RSI at 40.03, market indicators point to a cautious short-term bias. Further sustained selling could lead price action toward support at 109.212, whereas a recovery above 113.326 would be needed to stabilize the pair.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

AUD/JPY D1 technical analysis chart
AUD/JPY D1 Technical Analysis for 09.05.2026

AUD/JPY Forecast — 29 August 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The AUD/JPY pair has demonstrated strong upward momentum, recently reaching a daily close of 114.635. Market focus remains on macroeconomic performance, where shifts in global risk appetite and national output metrics play a crucial role in directing capital flows between the Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen. Traders closely monitor economic data releases for signals regarding underlying currency strength.

Price Action:

Daily price action shows a consistent upward trajectory over recent sessions, moving from a low consolidation area around 112.564 up to the current close of 114.635. The price is currently testing near the upper ceiling of its recent range, approaching key resistance at 114.708.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands on the D1 chart reflect an expanding channel with the middle band at 112.567, the upper band at 115.045, and the lower band at 110.089. Trading at 114.635, AUD/JPY is positioned near the upper band, indicating elevated buying momentum within the volatility structure.

RSI: The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 65.255, reflecting firm bullish control without crossing into deeply overbought territory above 70. This provides room for continued buying pressure before reaching potential exhaustion.

MACD: The MACD indicator registers a positive value of 0.4061, confirming a bullish bias on the daily timeframe. The ongoing positive histogram readings signal sustained momentum in favor of further potential gains.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels for AUD/JPY include immediate resistance at 114.708 and primary support down at 109.212. Dynamic baseline support is also provided by the middle Bollinger Band near 112.567.

News to Watch for AUDJPY This Week:

  • GDP q/q: Quarterly gross domestic product figures provide critical evaluation of economic performance and currency demand.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The technical setup for AUD/JPY suggests a dominant bullish momentum as price action remains pressed against the high resistance zone at 114.708. Supported by a positive MACD of 0.4061 and an RSI of 65.255, a sustained push could see the pair move toward the upper Bollinger Band boundary at 115.045. Conversely, if resistance holds firm, price action may pull back to test initial dynamic support near the 112.567 region before attempting another upward push.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

AUD/JPY D1 technical analysis chart
AUD/JPY D1 Technical Analysis for 08.29.2026

AUD/JPY Forecast — 22 August 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The AUD/JPY currency pair reflects the ongoing balance between Australian economic momentum and Japanese monetary policy dynamics. Traded market activity on AUDJPY remains influenced by shifts in global risk appetite and upcoming domestic price data. Key inflation releases from both regions could shape interest rate expectations and introduce fresh volatility into the pair.

Price Action:

On the Daily (D1) chart, AUD/JPY recently closed at 113.117, recovering after a decline toward the 109.212 support level. Recent daily candles demonstrate a gradual upward consolidation from the 112.350 zone, moving above 113.100 while staying below recent swing highs.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Daily Bollinger Bands for AUD/JPY show a middle line at 112.478, an upper band at 114.894, and a lower band at 110.062. With the last close at 113.117 situated above the middle baseline, price action trades in the upper half of the channel, reflecting moderate upward structure.

RSI: The 14-period Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) registers at 54.79. Positioned in neutral territory just above the 50 threshold, the indicator indicates a slight buying bias without signaling overbought condition.

MACD: The Daily MACD indicator prints a reading of 0.0336, holding slightly above the zero line. This positive value indicates modest bullish momentum on the D1 timeframe, although the limited magnitude reflects cautious market participation.

Support and Resistance:

Key Daily levels for AUD/JPY show strong technical support at 109.212 and primary resistance at 114.891. Additional dynamic support is anchored near the Bollinger middle band at 112.478, while upper resistance converges near 114.894.

News to Watch for AUDJPY This Week:

  • CPI m/m: Monthly consumer inflation figures can influence domestic monetary policy expectations and currency demand.
  • Trimmed Mean CPI m/m: Core inflation measurement offers insights into underlying price pressures impacting interest rate prospects.
  • CPI y/y: Annual inflation data provides a broad picture of consumer price dynamics affecting economic sentiment.
  • Tokyo Core CPI y/y: Regional price index serves as a key indicator for nationwide inflation trends and central bank policy.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly outlook for AUD/JPY (AUDJPY) points to a neutral-to-bullish outlook on the Daily (D1) timeframe. Maintaining price action above the 112.478 middle Bollinger band keeps potential upside targets open toward the 114.891 resistance level. Conversely, a sustained drop below 112.478 could re-open downside paths toward the major support level at 109.212 depending on upcoming inflation releases.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

AUD/JPY D1 technical analysis chart
AUD/JPY D1 Technical Analysis for 08.22.2026

AUD/JPY Forecast — 15 August 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The fundamental outlook for AUD/JPY reflects a balance between domestic economic health in Australia and general risk sentiment. Upcoming releases regarding labor market performance and wage growth offer crucial insights into Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy expectations, which directly influence sentiment for AUDJPY.

Price Action:

On the daily (D1) chart, AUD/JPY has stabilized following a drop toward lower support levels around 109.212. The pair has staged a steady recovery back into the mid-112 range, closing at 112.564. This price action suggests a period of consolidation as buyers try to regain footing above key technical reference points.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The daily Bollinger Bands for AUD/JPY show a middle line at 112.7035, an upper band at 115.4322, and a lower band at 109.9748. With the current close at 112.564, the pair is positioned near the middle band, signaling a neutral volatility environment.

RSI: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for AUD/JPY stands at 50.86. Floating around the neutral 50 threshold, the RSI indicates a balanced momentum profile with no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.

MACD: The D1 MACD for AUD/JPY sits at -0.2267. While remaining in negative territory, the indicator reflects a softening of downside pressure as price action recovers from recent lows.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical boundaries for AUD/JPY on the daily timeframe include primary support at 109.212 and main resistance at 114.891. Additional dynamic levels include the lower Bollinger band near 109.9748 and the upper Bollinger band near 115.4322.

News to Watch for AUDJPY This Week:

  • Wage Price Index q/q: Measures changes in labor costs which offer critical guidance on domestic wage inflation and monetary policy decisions.
  • Employment Change: Reflects net job growth across the economy and serves as a major driver for currency sentiment.
  • Unemployment Rate: Indicates overall labor market capacity and provides valuable context for economic expansion or slowdown.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly outlook for AUD/JPY is balanced as indicators display neutral readings. Trading near 112.564, the pair sits close to its daily middle Bollinger band of 112.7035 with an RSI of 50.86. A sustained move higher could target major resistance at 114.891, whereas a shift in momentum back downward brings key support at 109.212 into focus. Strategic traders will closely observe incoming labor market releases for directional impetus.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

AUD/JPY D1 technical analysis chart
AUD/JPY D1 Technical Analysis for 08.15.2026

AUD/JPY Forecast — 9 August 2026

Time Zone: GMT +3

Time Frame: Daily (D1) / Weekly Outlook

Weekly Fundamental Overview:

The fundamental outlook for AUD/JPY reflects the interplay between risk sentiment, interest rate expectations, and economic data from Australia and Japan. As a risk-sensitive currency pair, AUD/JPY remains sensitive to global growth developments and broader market dynamics influencing central bank policy stances.

Price Action:

On the Daily (D1) chart, AUD/JPY experienced a significant pullback from recent highs near resistance at 114.891, sliding toward support near 109.212 before consolidating around the last close of 111.409. The recent candlestick structure indicates an attempt at stabilization following a period of selling pressure.

Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands on the D1 timeframe show a middle band at 112.89, an upper band at 115.60, and a lower band at 110.18. Trading near 111.409 places AUD/JPY in the lower half of the band structure, suggesting price action is striving to recover back toward the middle boundary.

RSI: The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) registers at 40.86, positioning the pair in neutral-to-bearish territory. The indicator remains above the oversold threshold of 30, leaving room for price movement in either direction.

MACD: The MACD indicator stands at -0.4519, remaining below the zero line. This negative reading reflects persistent downside momentum, though any flattening out of histogram bars could hint at potential momentum exhaustion.

Support and Resistance:

Key technical levels on the daily timeframe place primary support at 109.212 and main resistance at 114.891. Additional technical reference points include the lower Bollinger Band at 110.18 and the middle band at 112.89.

News to Watch for AUDJPY This Week:

  • RBA Gov Bullock Speaks: Speeches from the central bank governor can offer vital insights into interest rate outlooks and future monetary policy decisions.

Weekly Outlook and Consideration:

The weekly outlook for AUD/JPY remains cautious as technical indicators highlight subdued momentum. With price consolidating around 111.409, traders are observing whether support at 109.212 will hold or if a recovery toward the middle Bollinger Band at 112.89 will materialize. RSI at 40.86 and negative MACD (-0.4519) reflect prevailing downside pressures, but sustained buying near current levels could help establish a base for consolidation.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/JPY is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

AUD/JPY D1 technical analysis chart
AUD/JPY D1 Technical Analysis for 08.09.2026
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