{"id":54582,"date":"2026-10-11T17:30:52","date_gmt":"2026-10-11T13:30:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/market\/market\/analysis\/eur-jpy-forecast-2026-10-11\/"},"modified":"2026-10-23T18:32:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T14:32:12","slug":"eur-jpy-forecast-2026-10-11","status":"publish","type":"market_article","link":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/forecast\/eur-jpy-forecast-2026-10-11\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/JPY Weekly Forecast: 11\u201317 October 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"fxch-forecast-article\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-content\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-header\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-dek\">Bearish D1 structure and negative momentum keep downside pressure in focus, while mixed price action and H4 conditions leave room for tactical consolidation.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-status fxch-forecast-status--superseded\" role=\"status\"><strong>Superseded forecast:<\/strong> A newer weekly outlook is available. <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/forecast\/?fxch_latest=1&#038;from=54582\">Read the latest EUR\/JPY forecast<\/a>.<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card\">\n<figure class=\"ce-content-image fxch-forecast-article-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1680\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026-1680x960.png\" class=\"ce-lightbox-trigger\" alt=\"EUR\/JPY D1 technical analysis chart\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Open EUR\/JPY technical chart\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-full-src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026-1680x960.png 1680w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-technical-analysis-for-10.16.2026-2048x1170.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><figcaption>EUR\/JPY D1 technical-analysis context for the weekly forecast. Chart data captured 16 October 2026.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<aside class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__panel\" aria-label=\"EUR\/JPY weekly forecast summary\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__kicker\">Weekly forecast<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__pair\">EUR\/JPY<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__range\">11\u201317 Oct 2026<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__bias fxch-forecast-chart-card__bias--negative\"><span>Bias<\/span> Bearish<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__latest\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__label\">Price at last update<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__price\">175.654<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__time\">Updated 23 Oct 2026 20:25 GMT+3<\/span><\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__levels\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__level--support\">\n<dt>Support<\/dt>\n<dd>176.208<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__level--resistance\">\n<dt>Resistance<\/dt>\n<dd>178.324<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<section id=\"weekly-at-a-glance\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/JPY Weekly Forecast at a Glance<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-grid\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--price\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Price at last update<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">175.654<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Updated 23 Oct 2026 20:25 GMT+3<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--bias fxch-forecast-summary-card--bias-negative\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Weekly bias<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">Bearish<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">The bearish bias is supported by the D1 bearish trend state, negative momentum, falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes, and a bearish H4 tactical state. Mixed D1 closes and an H4 momentum improvement temper the immediacy of that view.<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--timeframe\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Primary timeframe<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">D1<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Controls the weekly thesis<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--timeframe\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Tactical timeframe<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">H4<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Confirmation and warning signals<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--validity\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Validity<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">11\u201317 Oct 2026<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Through 17 October 2026<\/small><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__head\">\n<h3><svg class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__icon\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.7\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14 3H6a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v14a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h12a2 2 0 0 0 2-2V9z\"\/><path d=\"M14 3v6h6M8 13h8M8 17h5\"\/><\/svg>In brief<\/h3>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__badges\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__status\">Superseded<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__pair\">EUR\/JPY<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__summary\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__thesis\">EUR\/JPY retains a bearish weekly bias as D1 structure and negative momentum align, although mixed closes and improving H4 momentum leave consolidation risk.<\/p>\n<p>The weekly thesis is controlled by a bearish D1 trend state, with the 176.988 close below the 178.7317 Bollinger middle band, the 178.86592 EMA20 and the 180.891 EMA50. Negative MACD momentum and falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes reinforce the broader downside structure.<\/p>\n<p>The setup is not one-directional in its timing: the D1 close sequence is mixed, while H4 remains tactically bearish but shows a positive MACD histogram and an RSI of 46.4. This combination leaves room for consolidation or a corrective test before the weekly structure becomes clearer around 176.208 support and 178.324 resistance.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-brief\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row\">\n<dt>Bullish targets<\/dt>\n<dd>\n<ol class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__targets fxch-forecast-positive\">\n<li><span>T1<\/span><strong>179.299<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><span>T2<\/span><strong>180.813<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row fxch-forecast-brief__row--invalidation\">\n<dt>Invalidation<\/dt>\n<dd>One completed D1 close above <strong>178.45746<\/strong>.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap\">\n<table>\n<caption>EUR\/JPY weekly forecast figures<\/caption>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Price at last update<\/th>\n<td>175.654 as of 23 Oct 2026 20:25 GMT+3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Completed D1 reference close<\/th>\n<td>176.988 as of 8 October 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Primary support<\/th>\n<td>176.208<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Secondary support<\/th>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Primary resistance<\/th>\n<td>178.324<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Bullish targets<\/th>\n<td>179.299, 180.813<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Bearish targets<\/th>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Formal weekly thesis invalidation<\/th>\n<td>Upper 178.457 \u2014 One completed D1 close above 178.457 formally invalidates the bearish weekly thesis.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"live-tools\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Live EUR\/JPY Tools<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__lede\">A forecast is a snapshot. These pages keep moving with the market.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__grid\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card fxch-forecast-tools__card--wide fxch-forecast-tools__card--featured\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__live\">Live<\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/\">Live chart &amp; price<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Watch EUR\/JPY move tick by tick. Flip from the 1-minute chart to the monthly, with trading conditions right alongside.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Open the live chart <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 400 72\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" focusable=\"false\"><path class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-fill\" d=\"M0 52 28 46 52 55 84 38 112 44 140 30 172 40 204 24 236 33 268 18 300 27 332 12 364 20 388 8H400V72H0Z\"\/><path class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-line\" d=\"M0 52 28 46 52 55 84 38 112 44 140 30 172 40 204 24 236 33 268 18 300 27 332 12 364 20 388 8\"\/><\/svg><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-dot\"><\/span><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card fxch-forecast-tools__card--wide\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__live\">Live<\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/technical\/\">Technical signals<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Buy, sell or sit it out? Oscillators, moving averages and pivot points boiled down to one clear reading, updated live.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">See today&#039;s signals <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-bars\" viewBox=\"3 0 400 72\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" focusable=\"false\"><rect x=\"8\" y=\"30\" width=\"10\" height=\"12\"\/><rect x=\"28\" y=\"24\" width=\"10\" height=\"18\"\/><rect x=\"48\" y=\"16\" width=\"10\" height=\"26\"\/><rect x=\"68\" y=\"22\" width=\"10\" height=\"20\"\/><rect x=\"88\" y=\"32\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\"\/><rect x=\"108\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"8\"\/><rect x=\"128\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"16\"\/><rect x=\"148\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"22\"\/><rect x=\"168\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"14\"\/><rect x=\"188\" y=\"36\" width=\"10\" height=\"6\"\/><rect x=\"208\" y=\"26\" width=\"10\" height=\"16\"\/><rect x=\"228\" y=\"14\" width=\"10\" height=\"28\"\/><rect x=\"248\" y=\"8\" width=\"10\" height=\"34\"\/><rect x=\"268\" y=\"18\" width=\"10\" height=\"24\"\/><rect x=\"288\" y=\"30\" width=\"10\" height=\"12\"\/><rect x=\"308\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\"\/><rect x=\"328\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"18\"\/><rect x=\"348\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"9\"\/><rect x=\"368\" y=\"28\" width=\"10\" height=\"14\"\/><rect x=\"388\" y=\"18\" width=\"10\" height=\"24\"\/><\/svg><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><rect x=\"3\" y=\"4\" width=\"18\" height=\"17\" rx=\"2\"\/><path d=\"M8 2v4M16 2v4M3 10h18M8 15h2M14 15h2\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/economic-calendar\/\">Economic calendar<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Know what&#039;s coming before it hits the price: every scheduled release with impact, forecast and actual.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Check the calendar <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 3v16a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h16M9 5v4M9 15v2M17 3v2M17 13v3\"\/><rect x=\"7\" y=\"9\" width=\"4\" height=\"6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect x=\"15\" y=\"5\" width=\"4\" height=\"8\" rx=\"1\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/historical-data\/\">Historical data<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Open, high, low and close on any timeframe from 1 minute to monthly. Test your idea, then download the data.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Browse the history <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"9.5\"\/><path d=\"m16.24 7.76-2.12 6.36-6.36 2.12 2.12-6.36z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/forecast\/\">All EUR\/JPY forecasts<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Every weekly outlook in one place. Scroll back to see how earlier calls played out against the chart.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Read past forecasts <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"fundamental-drivers\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/JPY Fundamental Drivers This Week<\/h2>\n<p>No scheduled events were provided for this forecast, so the weekly assessment is driven by the supplied technical structure, momentum, volatility and levels.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"market-context\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Current EUR\/JPY Price and Weekly Market Context<\/h2>\n<p>D1 controls the weekly picture: the trend state is bearish, momentum is negative, and the falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes add structural weight to the downside case. The 176.988 close is below the D1 EMA20, EMA50 and Bollinger middle band, while the mixed close sequence argues against treating the move as uninterrupted. H4 remains bearish tactically, but its positive MACD histogram and RSI of 46.4 indicate that short-term pressure is not fully synchronized with the D1 momentum picture.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-states\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--negative\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">D1 trend<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">bearish<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">Close vs 50 EMA and 200 SMA<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--negative\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">H4 tactical<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">bearish<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">H4 close vs 20 and 50 EMA<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--negative\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">Momentum<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">negative<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">RSI and MACD histogram<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 9h16\"\/><path d=\"M4 15h16\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">Volatility<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">stable<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">D1 ATR change<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenarios\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Is EUR\/JPY Bullish or Bearish This Week?<\/h2>\n<p>The primary scenario is continued bearish pressure within the D1 structure, with 176.208 as the important supplied support reference. A base scenario is two-sided consolidation between 176.208 and 178.324 while mixed D1 closes and improving H4 momentum delay directional resolution. A bullish alternative would require stronger recovery through the resistance framework, with 179.299 and 180.813 as the supplied bullish targets.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-nav\" role=\"list\" aria-label=\"Jump to a scenario\">\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bullish\" href=\"#scenario-bullish\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 17l6-6 4 4 6-7\"\/><path d=\"M15 8h5v5\"\/><\/svg>Bullish reversal<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--base\" href=\"#scenario-base\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M8 8l-4 4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Base \/ neutral<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bearish\" href=\"#scenario-bearish\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 7l6 6 4-4 6 7\"\/><path d=\"M15 16h5v-5\"\/><\/svg>Bearish continuation<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenarios\">\n<section id=\"scenario-bullish\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bullish\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-bullish-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-bullish-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 17l6-6 4 4 6-7\"\/><path d=\"M15 8h5v5\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 1 of 3<\/span>Bullish reversal<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>A bullish alternative would gain structural relevance after one completed D1 close above 178.45746, because that would move price beyond the formal upper boundary of the current bearish view.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>H4 would provide tactical support for the bullish alternative if its recovery persisted through the supplied 177.303 resistance and developed toward the D1 resistance at 178.324, while recognizing that D1 remains controlling.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>179.299, 180.813<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A failure to establish D1 strength above 178.324, followed by renewed pressure toward 176.208, would materially weaken the bullish alternative.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenario-base\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--base\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-base-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-base-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M8 8l-4 4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 2 of 3<\/span>Base \/ neutral<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>The base scenario is supported by the mixed D1 close sequence and the tension between bearish trend structure and the possibility of short-term stabilization around the supplied levels.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>H4 can sustain the consolidation case while its bearish tactical state is offset by the positive MACD histogram and RSI of 46.4, leaving neither timeframe fully aligned for immediate directional resolution.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>The consolidation framework is bounded by the supplied 176.208 support and 178.324 resistance, with 179.299 representing the next resistance reference if the upper side gains traction.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close beyond 178.45746 would shift the market away from the current two-sided framework, while renewed pressure through 176.208 would weaken the consolidation interpretation.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenario-bearish\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bearish\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-bearish-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-bearish-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 7l6 6 4-4 6 7\"\/><path d=\"M15 16h5v-5\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 3 of 3<\/span>Bearish continuation<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>The bearish case remains supported while the D1 bearish trend state, negative momentum and falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes persist, particularly with the 176.988 close below the supplied 178.324 resistance.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>H4 would add tactical confirmation if its bearish state translated into renewed pressure below the supplied 177.019 support and toward 176.208, without replacing the D1 basis of the weekly thesis.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__missing\">Not identified<\/span><\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close above 178.45746, especially if accompanied by recovery through 178.324, would materially weaken the bearish scenario.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-table-note\">\u201cNot identified\u201d means the available analysis did not establish that condition.<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--neutral\"><strong>Conditional interpretation:<\/strong> The evidence favors the bearish path because D1 structure and momentum align with the bearish H4 state. The main counterweight is tactical: mixed D1 closes, H4 RSI of 46.4 and a positive H4 MACD histogram can support consolidation or a corrective recovery. The scenarios therefore remain conditional on how price behaves around 176.208 support, 178.324 resistance and the 178.45746 upper boundary.<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"technical-analysis\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/JPY D1 Outlook and H4 Technical Triggers<\/h2>\n<p>The daily timeframe controls the weekly thesis. H4 evidence is used only for earlier confirmation, tactical warning and scenario-failure context. Complete live H4, H1 and intraday readings remain on the <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/technical\/\">Technical page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"ce-content-image fxch-forecast-article-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1680\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026-1680x960.png\" class=\"ce-lightbox-trigger\" alt=\"EUR\/JPY D1 technical analysis chart\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Open EUR\/JPY technical chart\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-full-src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026-1680x960.png 1680w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/eurjpy-d1-weekly-levels-for-10.16.2026-2048x1170.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><figcaption>EUR\/JPY D1 technical-analysis context for the weekly forecast. Chart data captured 16 October 2026.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>D1 Price Action and Market Structure<\/h3>\n<p>The D1 close sequence is mixed, but the 176.988 close remains below the 178.7317 Bollinger middle band, 178.86592 EMA20, 180.891 EMA50 and 183.83826 SMA200. The negative MACD histogram and falling moving-average slopes strengthen the bearish structural reading, while the mixed sequence limits claims of a uniformly accelerating decline.<\/p>\n<h3>H4 Tactical Triggers<\/h3>\n<p>H4 is classified as bearish, with its 177.146 close below the 177.27349 EMA20 and 177.71513 EMA50. Its position below the 177.31645 Bollinger middle band is consistent with tactical pressure, but the positive MACD histogram and RSI of 46.4 show that short-term momentum is less negative than the D1 reading. The supplied H4 levels at 177.019 support and 177.303 resistance frame the tactical tension.<\/p>\n<h3>Technical Indicators at a Glance<\/h3>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum\">\n<div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__eyebrow\">Automated technical summary<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__text\">The technical profile is bearish on D1 and H4, with negative overall momentum, falling D1 EMA50 and SMA200 slopes, and stable volatility. The D1 close is below its EMA20, EMA50, SMA200 and Bollinger middle band, while H4 remains below its EMA20, EMA50 and Bollinger middle band. Mixed D1 closes and positive H4 MACD histogram readings are the principal counterweights.<\/p>\n<p><small class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__meta\">Selected snapshot: D1 with H4 tactical context. Updated 16 October 2026.<\/small><\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-signals\" role=\"list\" aria-label=\"Indicator signals\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">RSI<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">32.11<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">MACD<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">Below signal<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--negative\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>Bearish<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">Bollinger Bands<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">12% of band<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Lower half<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">Moving averages<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">Below both<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--negative\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>Bearish<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">ATR<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">133.5 pips<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 9h16\"\/><path d=\"M4 15h16\"\/><\/svg>Stable<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator-grid\">\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">RSI <span>(14)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"RSI on a 0 to 100 scale. D1 is 32.11 (neutral) and H4 is 46.4 (neutral). Oversold is below 30 and overbought is above 70.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin\" style=\"--pos:32.1%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">D1 <b>32.11<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__track\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--alert\" style=\"width:30%\">Oversold<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:40%\">Neutral 30\u201370<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--alert\" style=\"width:30%\">Overbought<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin fxch-forecast-gauge__pin--below\" style=\"--pos:46.4%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">H4 <b>46.4<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">D1 RSI at 32.11 is consistent with weak momentum within the bearish trend state, while H4 RSI at 46.4 indicates less forceful short-term pressure. The difference supports a bearish higher-timeframe thesis with potential tactical hesitation rather than a fully synchronized decline.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 RSI<\/dt>\n<dd>32.11<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>H4 RSI<\/dt>\n<dd>46.4<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">MACD <span>(12, 26, 9)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--negative\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>Bearish momentum<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd\">\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__legend\" role=\"list\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key\"><\/span>MACD<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key fxch-forecast-macd__key--signal\"><\/span>Signal<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key fxch-forecast-macd__key--hist\"><\/span>Histogram + \/ \u2212<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__plot\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__zero\" aria-hidden=\"true\">0<\/span><svg viewBox=\"0 0 300 120\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" role=\"img\" focusable=\"false\" aria-label=\"D1 MACD over the last 30 sessions. The MACD line at -1.253109 is below its signal line at -1.195015, with the histogram at -0.058094.\"><line class=\"is-zero\" x1=\"0\" x2=\"300\" y1=\"60\" y2=\"60\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"1.5\" y=\"53.3\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"11.5\" y=\"54.4\" width=\"7\" height=\"5.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"21.5\" y=\"55.2\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.8\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"31.5\" y=\"59.8\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"41.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"8.5\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"51.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"12.9\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"61.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"19.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"71.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"23.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"81.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"25.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"91.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"23.4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"101.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"23.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"111.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"21.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"121.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"17.4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"131.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"13.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"141.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"10\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"151.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.5\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"161.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"171.5\" y=\"57.2\" width=\"7\" height=\"2.8\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"181.5\" y=\"55.2\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.8\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"191.5\" y=\"52.5\" width=\"7\" height=\"7.5\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"201.5\" y=\"54.3\" width=\"7\" height=\"5.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"211.5\" y=\"55.8\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"221.5\" y=\"57.8\" width=\"7\" height=\"2.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"231.5\" y=\"59\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"241.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"251.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"261.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"2.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"271.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"281.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1.9\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg is-latest\" x=\"291.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1.9\" rx=\"1\"\/><polyline class=\"is-signal\" points=\"5,56 15,54.7 25,53.5 35,53.4 45,55.5 55,58.8 65,63.6 75,69.4 85,75.7 95,81.5 105,87.3 115,92.8 125,97.1 135,100.4 145,102.9 155,104.1 165,104.1 175,103.3 185,102.1 195,100.3 205,98.9 215,97.8 225,97.3 235,97 245,97.2 255,97.6 265,98.2 275,98.5 285,99 295,99.4\"\/><polyline class=\"is-macd\" points=\"5,49.4 15,49.1 25,48.7 35,53.2 45,64.1 55,71.6 65,82.9 75,92.6 85,100.8 95,104.9 105,110.7 115,114.4 125,114.5 135,113.8 145,112.9 155,108.6 165,104 175,100.5 185,97.3 195,92.8 205,93.2 215,93.6 225,95.1 235,96 245,97.8 255,99.1 265,100.8 275,99.6 285,100.9 295,101.4\"\/><\/svg><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__axis\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span>30 D1 sessions ago<\/span><span>Latest<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">D1 MACD remains below its signal with a negative histogram, reinforcing the bearish momentum case. H4 MACD is also below zero, but its positive histogram indicates improving short-term momentum relative to its signal and creates a tactical counterweight.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>MACD<\/dt>\n<dd>-1.253109<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Signal<\/dt>\n<dd>-1.195015<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Histogram<\/dt>\n<dd>-0.058094<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">Bollinger Bands <span>(20, 2\u03c3)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Lower half<\/span><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge fxch-forecast-gauge--ticks\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Latest D1 close 176.988 sits inside the Bollinger Bands, 12% of the way from the lower band at 176.456 to the upper band at 181.007.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin\" style=\"--pos:23.2%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">Close <b>176.988<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__track\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--outside\" style=\"width:15%\"><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:35%\">Lower half<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:35%\">Upper half<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--outside\" style=\"width:15%\"><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__ticks\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:15%\">Lower<b>176.456<\/b><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:50%\">Middle<b>178.732<\/b><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:85%\">Upper<b>181.007<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__caption\">Striped ends = price outside the bands.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">The D1 close is below the Bollinger middle band and above the lower band, placing the broader structure under pressure without establishing a supplied break of the lower band. H4 is also below its middle band and above its lower band, which is consistent with tactical weakness but leaves room for two-sided movement.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>Position in band<\/dt>\n<dd>12%<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Band width<\/dt>\n<dd>455.1 pips (2.55%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">Moving averages <span>(D1)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--negative\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>Bearish structure<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__axis\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span>Price below average<\/span><span>Price above average<\/span><\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-ma\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__row\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__name\">50 EMA <span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__slope\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>falling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__value\">180.891<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__fill fxch-forecast-ma__fill--below\" style=\"--w:46.3%\"><\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__dist\">Price is <b>390.3 pips below<\/b> (-2.16%)<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__row\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__name\">200 SMA <span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__slope\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>falling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__value\">183.838<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__fill fxch-forecast-ma__fill--below\" style=\"--w:80%\"><\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__dist\">Price is <b>685.0 pips below<\/b> (-3.73%)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">The D1 close below the EMA20, EMA50 and SMA200, together with falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes, provides the strongest structural confirmation for the bearish weekly thesis. H4 is likewise below its EMA20 and EMA50, although the shorter timeframe does not remove the mixed D1 close-sequence risk.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 close<\/dt>\n<dd>176.988<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>50 EMA<\/dt>\n<dd>180.891<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>200 SMA<\/dt>\n<dd>183.838<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator fxch-forecast-indicator--wide\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">ATR <span>(14)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 9h16\"\/><path d=\"M4 15h16\"\/><\/svg>Stable volatility<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__split\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range\" style=\"--gutter:9ch\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Typical move size around the latest close of 176.988. One D1 ATR is 133.5 pips, spanning 175.653 to 178.323. One H4 ATR is 49.8 pips, spanning 176.490 to 177.486.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__close\">Close <b>176.988<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__cap\">Typical 1-day move <b>\u00b1133.5 pips<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range__bar\" style=\"--w:1\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__lo\">175.653<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__hi\">178.323<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__cap\">Typical 4-hour move <b>\u00b149.8 pips<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range__bar fxch-forecast-range__bar--h4\" style=\"--w:0.373\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__lo\">176.490<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__hi\">177.486<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__caption\">One ATR either side of the latest close. A measure of move size, not a price target.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">Stable volatility points to an environment where level tests may develop without volatility itself establishing direction. ATR therefore informs the pace and scale of possible movement, while the D1 trend and momentum remain the directional evidence.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 ATR<\/dt>\n<dd>1.33462 (0.75%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>H4 ATR<\/dt>\n<dd>0.49768 (0.28%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Technical conclusion:<\/strong> The principal technical case remains bearish because D1 structure, negative momentum and falling moving-average slopes are aligned, with H4 also classified as bearish. The strongest counterargument is the mixed D1 close sequence alongside a positive H4 MACD histogram and RSI of 46.4, which can delay directional follow-through. The next supplied framework is 176.208 support against 178.324 resistance, with 178.45746 serving as the formal upper boundary for the bearish view.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/technical\/\">View all live EUR\/JPY oscillators, moving averages, pivot points and timeframe signals<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"levels\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/JPY Weekly Support, Resistance and Invalidation<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap fxch-forecast-levels\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Level<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Timeframe<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Why it matters<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>176.208<\/td>\n<td>Primary support<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>It is the first supplied weekly support reference and the main downside level in the bearish scenario.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>178.324<\/td>\n<td>Primary resistance<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>It is the first supplied weekly resistance reference and separates continued pressure from a broader recovery attempt.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>179.299<\/td>\n<td>Secondary resistance<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>It is the next supplied resistance reference and also a permitted bullish target if the recovery scenario strengthens.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>180.813<\/td>\n<td>Bullish target<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>It is the higher permitted bullish target and would require a substantially stronger recovery than the current D1 structure indicates.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>177.019<\/td>\n<td>H4 support<\/td>\n<td>H4<\/td>\n<td>It frames the immediate tactical downside context before the broader D1 support at 176.208.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>177.303<\/td>\n<td>H4 resistance<\/td>\n<td>H4<\/td>\n<td>It is the immediate tactical recovery reference within the bearish H4 structure.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>These are forecast-specific market-structure levels. Formula-based Classic, Fibonacci and Camarilla pivots remain on the <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/technical\/\">Technical page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"events\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Economic News &amp; Events to Watch for EUR\/JPY This Week<\/h2>\n<p>No scheduled events available for this period.<\/p>\n<p>Calendar source: FXGlory economic calendar. Retrieved 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT+3. <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/economic-calendar\/\">View the complete EUR\/JPY economic calendar<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/JPY Outlook for 11\u201317 October 2026<\/h2>\n<p>EUR\/JPY enters the week with a bearish D1 framework: the 176.988 close is below the principal D1 moving averages and Bollinger middle band, while negative MACD momentum and falling moving-average slopes support the downside interpretation. H4 adds tactical bearish context, but its positive histogram and less-negative RSI keep the path conditional.<\/p>\n<p>The key technical negotiation is between 176.208 support and 178.324 resistance. Pressure through the support framework would keep the bearish scenario relevant, whereas recovery through the resistance structure would shift attention toward 179.299 and 180.813. A completed D1 close above 178.45746 would materially weaken the current bearish thesis.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"risks\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Weekly Forecast Risks and What Would Change the Outlook<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--risk\"><strong>Main forecast risk:<\/strong> The main risk to the bearish forecast is timeframe and momentum disagreement: mixed D1 closes and improving H4 MACD momentum could produce consolidation or a corrective recovery before the D1 trend reasserts itself.<\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-risks\">\n<li><strong>Mixed D1 close sequence:<\/strong> It indicates that recent daily price action is not uniformly directional, reducing the immediacy of the bearish continuation case.<\/li>\n<li><strong>H4 momentum improvement:<\/strong> The positive H4 MACD histogram and RSI of 46.4 provide countertrend evidence that may delay a direct test of 176.208 support.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Resistance recovery:<\/strong> A recovery through 178.324 would challenge the near-term bearish structure, while one completed D1 close above 178.45746 would materially weaken the formal bearish boundary.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stable volatility:<\/strong> Stable volatility may allow consolidation and slower level development, so volatility conditions alone do not confirm directional follow-through.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Formal weekly invalidation:<\/strong> The bearish weekly thesis is formally invalidated by one completed D1 close above 178.45746. One completed D1 close below 175.51992 confirms lower structural extension and continuation.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"faq\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/JPY Weekly Forecast FAQs<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\" open>\n<summary>\n<h3>Is EUR\/JPY bullish or bearish this week?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The weekly bias is Bearish. D1 trend and momentum are negative, and both EMA50 and SMA200 slopes are falling, although mixed D1 closes and improving H4 MACD momentum reduce immediacy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What scenario would strengthen for EUR\/JPY this week?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The bearish scenario would become more relevant if D1 weakness persists beneath 178.324 resistance and price tests 176.208 support. A completed D1 close above 178.45746 would materially weaken that scenario.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What are the key EUR\/JPY support and resistance levels?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The main weekly reference levels are 176.208 support, followed by 178.324 and 179.299 resistance. The permitted bullish targets are 179.299 and 180.813; no bearish targets were supplied.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What would invalidate this EUR\/JPY forecast?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The bearish weekly thesis is formally invalidated by one completed D1 close above 178.45746.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"methodology\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Methodology, Data and Sources<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-source-list\">\n<li><strong>Price-data source:<\/strong> FXGlory price feed (EURJPY)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Live quote timestamp:<\/strong> 23 Oct 2026 20:25 GMT+3<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weekly analysis timestamp:<\/strong> 11 October 2026<\/li>\n<li><strong>Chart timestamp:<\/strong> 16 October 2026 (redrawn daily)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Daily check:<\/strong> Every day at 04:00 GMT+3: the latest completed D1 close is checked against the invalidation levels and the chart is redrawn.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Technical snapshot timestamp:<\/strong> 11 October 2026<\/li>\n<li><strong>Calendar-data source:<\/strong> FXGlory economic calendar<\/li>\n<li><strong>Calendar retrieval timestamp:<\/strong> 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT+3<\/li>\n<li><strong>Candle convention:<\/strong> FXGlory D1 and H4 candles; D1 candle dates are evaluated in UTC and invalidation uses completed D1 closes only.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indicator settings:<\/strong> D1 RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), Bollinger Bands(20,2), EMA(50), SMA(200), ATR(14); H4 RSI\/MACD\/Bollinger\/EMA\/ATR.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Level-selection method:<\/strong> Weekly D1 support\/resistance levels are structural market levels. Formal invalidation uses a hard 1.00\u00d7 D1 ATR(14) minimum anchor distance plus a 0.10\u00d7 D1 ATR(14) outward buffer; H4 levels are tactical only.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weekly forecast method:<\/strong> D1 controls the weekly thesis; H4 supplies tactical confirmation\/warning only.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div><strong>Primary and supporting sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-source-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/historical-data\/\">Historical EUR\/JPY price data<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/technical\/\">Live EUR\/JPY technical indicators<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-jpy\/economic-calendar\/\">EUR\/JPY economic calendar<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--neutral\"><strong>Timestamp policy:<\/strong> the live quote and the D1 chart update automatically during the week. The completed D1 reference close, indicator snapshot and authored conclusions remain tied to the completed D1 candle used for authoring unless the article receives a genuine substantive update.<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<footer class=\"fxch-forecast-footer-note\">\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> This EUR\/JPY analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a personalized recommendation, an offer to trade or a guarantee of future performance. Forecasts are uncertain, market conditions can change rapidly and leveraged trading can result in substantial losses.<\/p>\n<p>Verify the latest price and consider your circumstances and risk tolerance before making financial decisions.<\/p>\n<\/footer>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/JPY retains a bearish weekly bias as D1 structure and negative momentum align, although mixed closes and improving H4 momentum leave consolidation risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":43277,"template":"","market_instrument":[65],"market_content_type":[44],"class_list":["post-54582","market_article","type-market_article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_instrument-eur-jpy","market_content_type-forecast"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article\/54582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article\/54582\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43277"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_instrument","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_instrument?post=54582"},{"taxonomy":"market_content_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_content_type?post=54582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}