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class='ce-list-warning'><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u5165\\u573a\\u524d\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u8fb9\\u754c\\u4e0d\\u6e05\\u6670\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u5728\\u4ef7\\u683c\\u79fb\\u52a8\\u540e\\u91cd\\u65b0\\u7ed8\\u5236\\u4e86\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5bf9\\u4e8e\\u70b9\\u5dee\\u3001\\u6b62\\u635f\\u548c\\u76ee\\u6807\\u89c4\\u5212\\u6765\\u8bf4\\u592a\\u7a84\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5bf9\\u4e8e\\u53ef\\u63a5\\u53d7\\u7684\\u8d26\\u6237\\u98ce\\u9669\\u6765\\u8bf4\\u592a\\u5bbd\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u4ef7\\u683c\\u53cd\\u590d\\u9707\\u8361\\u7a7f\\u8fc7\\u4e24\\u4e2a\\u8fb9\\u754c\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u4e2d\\u90e8\\u662f\\u552f\\u4e00\\u53ef\\u7528\\u7684\\u5165\\u573a\\u533a\\u57df\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u7a81\\u7834\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u76f4\\u63a5\\u6536\\u76d8\\u5728\\u4e0b\\u4e00\\u4e2a\\u652f\\u6491\\u6216\\u963b\\u529b\\u533a\\u57df\\u5185\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u9884\\u5b9a\\u7684\\u65b0\\u95fb\\u4e8b\\u4ef6\\u53ef\\u80fd\\u4f1a\\u626d\\u66f2\\u8fb9\\u754c\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><li>\\u5982\\u679c\\u4ea4\\u6613\\u8005\\u65e0\\u6cd5\\u754c\\u5b9a\\u8ba1\\u5212\\u5c5e\\u4e8e\\u533a\\u95f4\\u3001\\u7a81\\u7834\\u3001\\u56de\\u8e29\\u3001\\u5047\\u7a81\\u7834\\u8fd8\\u662f\\u7981\\u6b62\\u4ea4\\u6613\\u903b\\u8f91\\uff0c\\u8bf7\\u8df3\\u8fc7\\u3002<\\\/li><\\\/ul><h2 id='backtesting-notes-for-forex-box-strategy'>\\u5916\\u6c47\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u7b56\\u7565\\u56de\\u6d4b\\u6ce8\\u610f\\u4e8b\\u9879<\\\/h2>\\n<p>\\u672c\\u6570\\u503c\\u590d\\u76d8\\u91c7\\u7528\\u4e86\\u4e00\\u4e2a\\u5047\\u8bbe\\u7684\\u6559\\u5b66\\u89c4\\u5219\\u6a21\\u578b\\uff1a\\u65e5\\u7ebf10\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u7a81\\u7834\\u4e0e\\u56de\\u8e29\\u8bbe\\u7f6e\\uff0c\\u5e26\\u6709\\u57fa\\u4e8e ATR \\u7684\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5bbd\\u5ea6\\u8fc7\\u6ee4\\u5668\\u3001\\u56de\\u8e29\\u786e\\u8ba4\\u89c4\\u5219\\u3001\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u9ad8\\u5ea6\\u76ee\\u6807\\u3001\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5931\\u6548\\u51fa\\u573a\\u4ee5\\u53ca\\u70b9\\u5dee\\\/\\u6ed1\\u70b9\\u654f\\u611f\\u6027\\u3002\\u5b83\\u5e76\\u672a\\u6d4b\\u8bd5\\u6bcf\\u79cd\\u7c7b\\u578b\\u7684\\u533a\\u95f4\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u3001\\u8fbe\\u74e6\\u65af\\u98ce\\u683c\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u3001\\u65f6\\u6bb5\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u3001\\u5047\\u7a81\\u7834\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u3001\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5185\\u533a\\u95f4\\u8bbe\\u7f6e\\u6216\\u4e3b\\u89c2\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u7a81\\u7834\\u3002<\\\/p>\\n<p>\\u8be5\\u6a21\\u578b\\u5728\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u4e0a\\u8bc4\\u4f30\\u4e86 EURUSD\\u3001GBPUSD\\u3001USDJPY\\u3001AUDUSD\\u3001USDCAD \\u548c USDCHF\\uff0c\\u4f7f\\u7528\\u7684\\u662f\\u53ef\\u83b7\\u53d6\\u7684 yfinance \\u516c\\u5171 OHLC \\u6570\\u636e\\u3002\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u662f\\u6839\\u636e\\u524d 10 \\u6839\\u5df2\\u5b8c\\u6210\\u7684\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u7684\\u6700\\u9ad8\\u9ad8\\u70b9\\u548c\\u6700\\u4f4e\\u4f4e\\u70b9\\u7ed8\\u5236\\u7684\\u3002<\\\/p>\\n<div class='ce-table-wrap'><table><thead><tr><th>\\u89c4\\u5219\\u9886\\u57df<\\\/th><th>\\u6559\\u5b66\\u6a21\\u578b\\u89c4\\u5219<\\\/th><\\\/tr><\\\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u7c7b\\u578b<\\\/td><td>\\u65e5\\u7ebf10\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u7a81\\u7834\\u4e0e\\u56de\\u8e29\\u7bb1\\u4f53<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u9ad8\\u70b9<\\\/td><td>\\u524d 10 \\u6839\\u5df2\\u5b8c\\u6210\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u7684\\u6700\\u9ad8\\u9ad8\\u70b9<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u4f4e\\u70b9<\\\/td><td>\\u524d 10 \\u6839\\u5df2\\u5b8c\\u6210\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u7684\\u6700\\u4f4e\\u4f4e\\u70b9<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u6709\\u6548\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5bbd\\u5ea6<\\\/td><td>\\u81f3\\u5c11 0.70 ATR(14) \\u4e14\\u4e0d\\u8d85\\u8fc7 3.00 ATR(14)<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u505a\\u591a\\u7a81\\u7834<\\\/td><td>\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u6536\\u76d8\\u4ef7\\u81f3\\u5c11\\u9ad8\\u4e8e\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u9ad8\\u70b9 0.10 ATR(14)\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u8d85\\u51fa\\u4e0d\\u8d85\\u8fc7 1.00 ATR(14)<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u505a\\u7a7a\\u7a81\\u7834<\\\/td><td>\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u6536\\u76d8\\u4ef7\\u81f3\\u5c11\\u4f4e\\u4e8e\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u4f4e\\u70b9 0.10 ATR(14)\\uff0c\\u4f46\\u8d85\\u51fa\\u4e0d\\u8d85\\u8fc7 1.00 ATR(14)<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u56de\\u8e29\\u7a97\\u53e3<\\\/td><td>\\u56de\\u8e29\\u5fc5\\u987b\\u5728\\u7a81\\u7834\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u4e4b\\u540e\\u7684 5 \\u6839\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u5185\\u53d1\\u751f<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u505a\\u591a\\u56de\\u8e29<\\\/td><td>\\u56de\\u8e29\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u89e6\\u53ca\\u6216\\u4f4e\\u4e8e\\u65e7\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u9ad8\\u70b9\\uff0c\\u5e76\\u6536\\u76d8\\u653e\\u56de\\u5176\\u4e0a\\u65b9<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u505a\\u7a7a\\u56de\\u8e29<\\\/td><td>\\u56de\\u8e29\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u89e6\\u53ca\\u6216\\u9ad8\\u4e8e\\u65e7\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u4f4e\\u70b9\\uff0c\\u5e76\\u6536\\u76d8\\u653e\\u56de\\u5176\\u4e0b\\u65b9<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u5165\\u573a<\\\/td><td>\\u56de\\u8e29\\u786e\\u8ba4\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u4e4b\\u540e\\u7684\\u4e0b\\u4e00\\u4e2a\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u5f00\\u76d8\\u4ef7<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u6b62\\u635f<\\\/td><td>\\u8d85\\u51fa\\u56de\\u8e29\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe\\u6781\\u503c\\uff0c\\u5e76\\u5e26\\u6709 0.25 ATR(14) \\u7684\\u7f13\\u51b2\\u533a<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u76ee\\u6807<\\\/td><td>\\u4ece\\u88ab\\u7a81\\u7834\\u8fb9\\u754c\\u5ef6\\u4f38\\u51fa\\u7684\\u4e00\\u4e2a\\u539f\\u59cb\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u9ad8\\u5ea6<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u5931\\u6548\\u51fa\\u573a<\\\/td><td>\\u5165\\u573a\\u540e\\u5982\\u679c\\u4ef7\\u683c\\u6536\\u76d8\\u91cd\\u8fd4\\u65e7\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5185\\u90e8\\uff0c\\u5219\\u5728\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u6536\\u76d8\\u65f6\\u5e73\\u4ed3\\u51fa\\u573a<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u6700\\u5927\\u6301\\u4ed3\\u590d\\u76d8<\\\/td><td>\\u5165\\u573a\\u540e 20 \\u6839\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe<\\\/td><\\\/tr><\\\/tbody><\\\/table><\\\/div>\\n<p>\\u672c\\u590d\\u76d8\\u8bb0\\u5f55\\u4e86\\u4ea4\\u6613\\u6b21\\u6570\\u3001\\u80dc\\u7387\\u3001\\u4ee5 R \\u4e3a\\u5355\\u4f4d\\u7684\\u5e73\\u5747\\u76c8\\u5229\\u3001\\u4ee5 R \\u4e3a\\u5355\\u4f4d\\u7684\\u5e73\\u5747\\u4e8f\\u635f\\u3001\\u4ee5 R \\u4e3a\\u5355\\u4f4d\\u7684\\u671f\\u671b\\u503c\\u3001\\u5229\\u6da6\\u56e0\\u5b50\\u3001\\u4ee5 R \\u4e3a\\u5355\\u4f4d\\u7684\\u6700\\u5927\\u56de\\u64a4\\u3001\\u6700\\u5dee\\u8fde\\u7eed\\u4e8f\\u635f\\u6b21\\u6570\\u3001\\u5e73\\u5747\\u6301\\u4ed3\\u5468\\u671f\\u3001\\u8d27\\u5e01\\u5bf9\\u5c42\\u9762\\u7684\\u8868\\u73b0\\u3001\\u65b9\\u5411\\u5c42\\u9762\\u7684\\u8868\\u73b0\\u3001\\u51fa\\u573a\\u539f\\u56e0\\u4ee5\\u53ca\\u70b9\\u5dee\\\/\\u6ed1\\u70b9\\u654f\\u611f\\u6027\\u3002<\\\/p>\\n<div class='ce-table-wrap'><table><thead><tr><th>\\u6210\\u672c\\u8f93\\u5165<\\\/th><th>\\u4f7f\\u7528\\u7684\\u5047\\u8bbe<\\\/th><\\\/tr><\\\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\\u70b9\\u5dee<\\\/td><td>0.5\\u30011.5 \\u548c 3.0 \\u70b9\\uff08pips\\uff09<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u6ed1\\u70b9<\\\/td><td>\\u5355\\u8fb9 0.1\\u30010.5 \\u548c 1.0 \\u70b9\\uff08pips\\uff09<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u57fa\\u51c6\\u5bf9\\u6bd4<\\\/td><td>1.5 \\u70b9\\u70b9\\u5dee\\u53ca\\u5355\\u8fb9 0.5 \\u70b9\\u6ed1\\u70b9<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u9694\\u591c\\u5229\\u606f\\u4e0e\\u5c55\\u671f\\u6210\\u672c<\\\/td><td>\\u672a\\u5305\\u542b<\\\/td><\\\/tr><\\\/tbody><\\\/table><\\\/div><h2 id='educational-sensitivity-test-results'>\\u6559\\u5b66\\u654f\\u611f\\u6027\\u6d4b\\u8bd5\\u7ed3\\u679c<\\\/h2>\\n<p>\\u5047\\u8bbe\\u56de\\u6d4b\\u4f7f\\u7528\\u4e86\\u5355\\u8fb9 1.5 \\u70b9\\u70b9\\u5dee\\u548c 0.5 \\u70b9\\u6ed1\\u70b9\\u7684\\u57fa\\u51c6\\u5047\\u8bbe\\u3002\\u57fa\\u51c6\\u7ed3\\u679c\\u4e3a\\u8d1f\\uff1a\\u671f\\u671b\\u503c\\u4e3a -0.5314R\\uff0c\\u5229\\u6da6\\u56e0\\u5b50\\u4e3a 0.2155\\uff0c\\u603b\\u51c0\\u7ed3\\u679c\\u4e3a -104.1607R\\u3002\\u8fd9\\u4e9b\\u6570\\u5b57\\u7528\\u4e8e\\u5728\\u5386\\u53f2\\u6570\\u636e\\u4e2d\\u7814\\u7a76\\u6b64\\u89c4\\u5219\\u6a21\\u578b\\u7684\\u884c\\u4e3a\\uff0c\\u800c\\u4e0d\\u662f\\u7528\\u4e8e\\u9884\\u6d4b\\u672a\\u6765\\u7684\\u5b9e\\u76d8\\u4ea4\\u6613\\u8868\\u73b0\\u3002<\\\/p>\\n<div class='ce-table-wrap'><table><thead><tr><th>\\u6307\\u6807<\\\/th><th>\\u57fa\\u51c6\\u7ed3\\u679c<\\\/th><\\\/tr><\\\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\\u4ea4\\u6613\\u7b14\\u6570<\\\/td><td>196<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u80dc\\u7387<\\\/td><td>10.20%<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u5e73\\u5747\\u76c8\\u5229<\\\/td><td>1.4303R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u5e73\\u5747\\u4e8f\\u635f<\\\/td><td>-0.7544R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u671f\\u671b\\u503c<\\\/td><td>-0.5314R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u5229\\u6da6\\u56e0\\u5b50<\\\/td><td>0.2155<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u6700\\u5927\\u56de\\u64a4<\\\/td><td>-104.0642R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u6700\\u5dee\\u8fde\\u7eed\\u4e8f\\u635f<\\\/td><td>29<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u5e73\\u5747\\u6301\\u4ed3\\u5468\\u671f<\\\/td><td>2.36 \\u6839\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u6301\\u4ed3\\u5468\\u671f\\u4e2d\\u4f4d\\u6570<\\\/td><td>1 \\u6839\\u65e5\\u7ebf\\u8721\\u70db\\u56fe<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>\\u603b\\u51c0\\u7ed3\\u679c<\\\/td><td>-104.1607R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><\\\/tbody><\\\/table><\\\/div>\\n<h3>\\u8d27\\u5e01\\u5bf9\\u5c42\\u9762\\u7ed3\\u679c<\\\/h3>\\n<div class='ce-table-wrap'><table><thead><tr><th>\\u8d27\\u5e01\\u5bf9<\\\/th><th>\\u4ea4\\u6613\\u7b14\\u6570<\\\/th><th>\\u80dc\\u7387<\\\/th><th>\\u671f\\u671b\\u503c<\\\/th><th>\\u5229\\u6da6\\u56e0\\u5b50<\\\/th><th>\\u6700\\u5927\\u56de\\u64a4<\\\/th><th>\\u603b\\u51c0\\u7ed3\\u679c<\\\/th><\\\/tr><\\\/thead><tbody><tr><td>AUDUSD<\\\/td><td>40<\\\/td><td>10.00%<\\\/td><td>-0.5875R<\\\/td><td>0.1515<\\\/td><td>-22.4629R<\\\/td><td>-23.5002R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>EURUSD<\\\/td><td>32<\\\/td><td>9.38%<\\\/td><td>-0.207R<\\\/td><td>0.6008<\\\/td><td>-8.1564R<\\\/td><td>-6.6232R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>GBPUSD<\\\/td><td>31<\\\/td><td>9.68%<\\\/td><td>-0.589R<\\\/td><td>0.1094<\\\/td><td>-18.1627R<\\\/td><td>-18.2593R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>USDCAD<\\\/td><td>42<\\\/td><td>19.05%<\\\/td><td>-0.3715R<\\\/td><td>0.3996<\\\/td><td>-18.3586R<\\\/td><td>-15.6034R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>USDCHF<\\\/td><td>27<\\\/td><td>3.70%<\\\/td><td>-0.7813R<\\\/td><td>0.0642<\\\/td><td>-20.0627R<\\\/td><td>-21.0942R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><tr><td>USDJPY<\\\/td><td>24<\\\/td><td>4.17%<\\\/td><td>-0.795R<\\\/td><td>0.0188<\\\/td><td>-18.0495R<\\\/td><td>-19.0805R<\\\/td><\\\/tr><\\\/tbody><\\\/table><\\\/div>\\n<h3>\\u65b9\\u5411\\u5c42\\u9762\\u7ed3\\u679c<\\\/h3>\\n<div 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ce-note-info'><strong>\\u6700\\u7ec8\\u603b\\u7ed3\\uff1a<\\\/strong>\\u5916\\u6c47\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u7b56\\u7565\\u53ea\\u6709\\u5728\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u80fd\\u5c06\\u76d8\\u6574\\u8f6c\\u5316\\u4e3a\\u6e05\\u6670\\u51b3\\u7b56\\u65f6\\u624d\\u6709\\u7528\\u3002\\u5982\\u679c\\u7bb1\\u4f53\\u5728\\u5165\\u573a\\u524d\\u65e0\\u6cd5\\u5b9a\\u4e49\\u8fb9\\u754c\\u3001\\u5931\\u6548\\u70b9\\u3001\\u76ee\\u6807\\u7a7a\\u95f4\\u548c\\u98ce\\u9669\\uff0c\\u5219\\u4e0d\\u5e94\\u5728\\u5b9e\\u76d8\\u4ea4\\u6613\\u4e2d\\u4f7f\\u7528\\u3002<\\\/div>\",\"backtesting\":{\"status\":\"completed_hypothetical_educational_backtest\",\"strategy_page\":\"Forex Box Strategy\",\"strategy_slug\":\"forex_box_strategy\",\"model_name\":\"Daily 10-Candle Box Breakout-Retest With Box-Height Target\",\"purpose\":\"Hypothetical educational review of one defined daily forex box breakout-and-retest rule model.\",\"data_source\":{\"provider\":\"yfinance\",\"data_type\":\"public daily OHLC\",\"broker_execution_data\":false,\"lookback\":\"2016-06-29 to 2026-06-29 in the provided run\",\"warmup_data\":\"extra historical data used for indicator calculation before the review window\"},\"instruments\":[\"EURUSD\",\"GBPUSD\",\"USDJPY\",\"AUDUSD\",\"USDCAD\",\"USDCHF\"],\"timeframe\":\"daily\",\"rule_model\":{\"box_type\":\"10-candle breakout-and-retest box\",\"box_high\":\"highest high of the previous 10 completed daily candles\",\"box_low\":\"lowest low of the previous 10 completed daily candles\",\"box_width\":\"box high minus box low\",\"valid_box_filter\":[\"box width must be at least 0.70 ATR(14)\",\"box width must be no more than 3.00 ATR(14)\"],\"long_setup\":[\"daily close breaks above the previous 10-candle box high\",\"breakout close is at least 0.10 ATR(14) above the box high\",\"breakout close is not more than 1.00 ATR(14) above the box high\",\"within the next 5 daily candles, price retests the old box high\",\"retest candle low touches or moves below the old box high\",\"retest candle closes back above the old box high\",\"entry at the next daily open\"],\"short_setup\":[\"daily close breaks below the previous 10-candle box low\",\"breakdown close is at least 0.10 ATR(14) below the box low\",\"breakdown close is not more than 1.00 ATR(14) below the box low\",\"within the next 5 daily candles, price retests the old box low\",\"retest candle high touches or moves above the old box low\",\"retest candle closes back below the old box low\",\"entry at the next daily open\"],\"stop_rule\":\"stop is placed beyond the retest candle extreme with a 0.25 ATR(14) buffer\",\"target_rule\":\"one original box height projected from the broken boundary\",\"failure_exit\":\"exit at daily close if price closes back inside the old box after entry\",\"maximum_holding_period\":\"20 daily candles after entry\",\"same_candle_rule\":\"if stop and target are touched during the same daily candle, stop is recorded first\",\"position_sizing\":\"results are measured in R; no account balance, leverage, compounding, or lot sizing is simulated\"},\"cost_assumptions\":{\"spread_pips\":1.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.5,\"swap_or_rollover\":\"not included\"},\"cost_sensitivity_grid\":{\"spread_pips\":[0.5,1.5,3],\"slippage_pips_per_side\":[0.1,0.5,1]},\"metrics_recorded\":[\"number_of_trades\",\"win_rate_percent\",\"average_win_r\",\"average_loss_r\",\"expectancy_r\",\"profit_factor\",\"max_drawdown_r\",\"worst_losing_streak\",\"average_holding_period_bars\",\"median_holding_period_bars\",\"total_net_r\",\"pair_level_metrics\",\"direction_level_metrics\",\"spread_slippage_sensitivity\",\"exit_reason_counts\"],\"output_files\":{\"trades_csv\":\"reports\\\/forex_box_strategy_trades.csv\",\"summary_json\":\"reports\\\/forex_box_strategy_backtest_results.json\"},\"limitations\":[\"The backtest is hypothetical and educational, not a trading signal or a claim about live profitability.\",\"yfinance public daily OHLC data is not FXGlory broker execution data.\",\"Spread and slippage are assumptions, not broker-specific historical execution records.\",\"Swap, rollover, financing, margin changes, rejected orders, partial fills, and liquidity quality are not included.\",\"Daily OHLC data cannot show the true intraday order of stop and target events; same-candle stop and target touches are treated conservatively as stop first.\",\"Retest logic is evaluated using daily candles and may differ from intraday retest execution.\",\"The model does not include news filters, session filters, account leverage, position sizing, compounding, taxes, or trader discretion.\",\"Changing the script, data source, spread, slippage, exits, holding period, box length, retest window, or parameters requires regenerated results.\"],\"audit_trail\":[\"Keep the Python script with the article backtest record.\",\"Keep reports\\\/forex_box_strategy_trades.csv with the article backtest record.\",\"Keep reports\\\/forex_box_strategy_backtest_results.json with the article backtest record.\"]},\"backtest_results\":{\"strategy_slug\":\"forex_box_strategy\",\"strategy_page\":\"Forex Box Strategy\",\"model_name\":\"Daily 10-candle box breakout-retest with box-height target\",\"status\":\"completed_hypothetical_educational_backtest\",\"created_at_utc\":\"2026-06-29T08:57:42Z\",\"data_window_requested\":{\"start_date\":\"2016-06-29\",\"end_date\":\"2026-06-29\",\"warmup_start_date\":\"2015-09-03\",\"note\":\"Warmup data is used only for indicator calculation before the 10-year review window.\"},\"data_source\":\"yfinance public daily OHLC data\",\"instruments\":[\"EURUSD\",\"GBPUSD\",\"USDJPY\",\"AUDUSD\",\"USDCAD\",\"USDCHF\"],\"baseline_cost_assumption\":{\"spread_pips\":1.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.5,\"swap_or_rollover\":\"not included\"},\"rule_model\":{\"market\":\"major forex pairs available through yfinance synthetic FX tickers\",\"timeframe\":\"daily\",\"box_type\":\"10-candle breakout-and-retest box\",\"box_high\":\"highest high of the previous 10 completed daily candles\",\"box_low\":\"lowest low of the previous 10 completed daily candles\",\"valid_box_filter\":\"box width must be between 0.7 and 3.0 ATR(14)\",\"long_rule\":\"daily close at least 0.1 ATR(14) above the box high and no more than 1.0 ATR(14) beyond it; retest of old box high must occur within 5 daily candles and close back above the boundary\",\"short_rule\":\"daily close at least 0.1 ATR(14) below the box low and no more than 1.0 ATR(14) beyond it; retest of old box low must occur within 5 daily candles and close back below the boundary\",\"entry\":\"next daily open after the retest confirmation candle\",\"stop\":\"beyond the retest candle extreme with a 0.25 ATR(14) buffer\",\"target\":\"one original box height projected from the broken boundary\",\"failure_exit\":\"exit at daily close if price closes back inside the old box after entry\",\"maximum_holding_period\":\"20 daily candles after entry\",\"same_bar_rule\":\"if daily high\\\/low touches both stop and target in the same candle, stop is recorded first\",\"position_sizing\":\"results are measured in R; no account balance, leverage, or position-size compounding is simulated\"},\"overall_baseline_metrics\":{\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":10.2,\"average_win_r\":1.4303,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7544,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5314,\"profit_factor\":0.2155,\"max_drawdown_r\":-104.0642,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-104.1607},\"pair_level_baseline_metrics\":{\"AUDUSD\":{\"number_of_trades\":40,\"win_rate_percent\":10,\"average_win_r\":1.049,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7693,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5875,\"profit_factor\":0.1515,\"max_drawdown_r\":-22.4629,\"worst_losing_streak\":11,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.33,\"median_holding_period_bars\":2,\"total_net_r\":-23.5002},\"EURUSD\":{\"number_of_trades\":32,\"win_rate_percent\":9.38,\"average_win_r\":3.3232,\"average_loss_r\":-0.5722,\"expectancy_r\":-0.207,\"profit_factor\":0.6008,\"max_drawdown_r\":-8.1564,\"worst_losing_streak\":13,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.25,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-6.6232},\"GBPUSD\":{\"number_of_trades\":31,\"win_rate_percent\":9.68,\"average_win_r\":0.7479,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7322,\"expectancy_r\":-0.589,\"profit_factor\":0.1094,\"max_drawdown_r\":-18.1627,\"worst_losing_streak\":10,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.52,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-18.2593},\"USDCAD\":{\"number_of_trades\":42,\"win_rate_percent\":19.05,\"average_win_r\":1.2981,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7644,\"expectancy_r\":-0.3715,\"profit_factor\":0.3996,\"max_drawdown_r\":-18.3586,\"worst_losing_streak\":16,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.29,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-15.6034},\"USDCHF\":{\"number_of_trades\":27,\"win_rate_percent\":3.7,\"average_win_r\":1.4467,\"average_loss_r\":-0.867,\"expectancy_r\":-0.7813,\"profit_factor\":0.0642,\"max_drawdown_r\":-20.0627,\"worst_losing_streak\":17,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.04,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-21.0942},\"USDJPY\":{\"number_of_trades\":24,\"win_rate_percent\":4.17,\"average_win_r\":0.3655,\"average_loss_r\":-0.8455,\"expectancy_r\":-0.795,\"profit_factor\":0.0188,\"max_drawdown_r\":-18.0495,\"worst_losing_streak\":14,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.88,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1.5,\"total_net_r\":-19.0805}},\"direction_level_baseline_metrics\":{\"long\":{\"number_of_trades\":98,\"win_rate_percent\":10.2,\"average_win_r\":1.6668,\"average_loss_r\":-0.809,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5563,\"profit_factor\":0.2341,\"max_drawdown_r\":-54.0085,\"worst_losing_streak\":23,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.46,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-54.5219},\"short\":{\"number_of_trades\":98,\"win_rate_percent\":10.2,\"average_win_r\":1.1938,\"average_loss_r\":-0.6997,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5065,\"profit_factor\":0.1939,\"max_drawdown_r\":-49.5422,\"worst_losing_streak\":21,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.27,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-49.6388}},\"exit_reason_counts_baseline\":{\"box_failure_close\":71,\"box_height_target\":15,\"stop_first_same_bar\":2,\"stop_loss\":106,\"time_exit\":2},\"spread_slippage_sensitivity\":[{\"spread_pips\":0.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.1,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":15.31,\"average_win_r\":0.9852,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7362,\"expectancy_r\":-0.4727,\"profit_factor\":0.2419,\"max_drawdown_r\":-92.5997,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-92.6512},{\"spread_pips\":0.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.5,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":12.76,\"average_win_r\":1.1622,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7416,\"expectancy_r\":-0.4988,\"profit_factor\":0.2291,\"max_drawdown_r\":-97.695,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-97.7665},{\"spread_pips\":0.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":1,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":10.2,\"average_win_r\":1.4303,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7544,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5314,\"profit_factor\":0.2155,\"max_drawdown_r\":-104.0642,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-104.1607},{\"spread_pips\":1.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.1,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":12.24,\"average_win_r\":1.2063,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7442,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5053,\"profit_factor\":0.2262,\"max_drawdown_r\":-98.9688,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-99.0454},{\"spread_pips\":1.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.5,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":10.2,\"average_win_r\":1.4303,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7544,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5314,\"profit_factor\":0.2155,\"max_drawdown_r\":-104.0642,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-104.1607},{\"spread_pips\":1.5,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":1,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":8.67,\"average_win_r\":1.6651,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7758,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5641,\"profit_factor\":0.2039,\"max_drawdown_r\":-110.4333,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-110.5549},{\"spread_pips\":3,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.1,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":9.18,\"average_win_r\":1.5772,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7698,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5543,\"profit_factor\":0.2072,\"max_drawdown_r\":-108.5226,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-108.6367},{\"spread_pips\":3,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":0.5,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":8.67,\"average_win_r\":1.6572,\"average_loss_r\":-0.7929,\"expectancy_r\":-0.5804,\"profit_factor\":0.1985,\"max_drawdown_r\":-113.6179,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-113.752},{\"spread_pips\":3,\"slippage_pips_per_side\":1,\"number_of_trades\":196,\"win_rate_percent\":8.67,\"average_win_r\":1.6414,\"average_loss_r\":-0.8271,\"expectancy_r\":-0.613,\"profit_factor\":0.1885,\"max_drawdown_r\":-119.9871,\"worst_losing_streak\":29,\"average_holding_period_bars\":2.36,\"median_holding_period_bars\":1,\"total_net_r\":-120.1462}],\"data_status\":{\"EURUSD\":{\"ticker\":\"EURUSD=X\",\"first_available_date\":\"2015-09-03\",\"last_available_date\":\"2026-06-29\",\"daily_rows_downloaded\":2815,\"raw_trades_before_cost_sensitivity\":32},\"GBPUSD\":{\"ticker\":\"GBPUSD=X\",\"first_available_date\":\"2015-09-03\",\"last_available_date\":\"2026-06-29\",\"daily_rows_downloaded\":2815,\"raw_trades_before_cost_sensitivity\":31},\"USDJPY\":{\"ticker\":\"JPY=X\",\"first_available_date\":\"2015-09-03\",\"last_available_date\":\"2026-06-29\",\"daily_rows_downloaded\":2815,\"raw_trades_before_cost_sensitivity\":24},\"AUDUSD\":{\"ticker\":\"AUDUSD=X\",\"first_available_date\":\"2015-09-03\",\"last_available_date\":\"2026-06-29\",\"daily_rows_downloaded\":2815,\"raw_trades_before_cost_sensitivity\":40},\"USDCAD\":{\"ticker\":\"CAD=X\",\"first_available_date\":\"2015-09-03\",\"last_available_date\":\"2026-06-29\",\"daily_rows_downloaded\":2815,\"raw_trades_before_cost_sensitivity\":42},\"USDCHF\":{\"ticker\":\"CHF=X\",\"first_available_date\":\"2015-09-03\",\"last_available_date\":\"2026-06-29\",\"daily_rows_downloaded\":2815,\"raw_trades_before_cost_sensitivity\":27}},\"output_files\":{\"trades_csv\":\"reports\\\/forex_box_strategy_trades.csv\",\"summary_json\":\"reports\\\/forex_box_strategy_backtest_results.json\"},\"audit_trail_note\":\"Keep this script, the exported trade log, and the exported summary JSON with the article backtest record. Regenerate the results if the script, data source, costs, exits, or parameters change.\",\"limitations\":[\"The backtest is hypothetical and educational, not a trading signal or a claim about live profitability.\",\"yfinance public daily OHLC data is not FXGlory broker execution data.\",\"Spread and slippage are assumptions, not broker-specific historical execution records.\",\"Swap, rollover, financing, margin changes, rejected orders, partial fills, and liquidity quality are not included.\",\"Daily OHLC data cannot show the true intraday order of stop and target events; same-candle stop and target touches are treated conservatively as stop first.\",\"Retest logic is evaluated using daily candles and may differ from intraday retest execution.\",\"The model does not include news filters, session filters, account leverage, position sizing, compounding, taxes, or trader discretion.\",\"Changing the script, data source, spread, slippage, exits, holding period, box length, retest window, or parameters requires regenerated results.\"]}}","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-47124","knowledge_page","type-knowledge_page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/knowledge_page\/47124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/knowledge_page"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/knowledge_page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/knowledge_page\/47124\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47412,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/knowledge_page\/47124\/revisions\/47412"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/knowledge_page\/46518"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/51765"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}