{"id":57943,"date":"2026-11-09T16:55:35","date_gmt":"2026-11-09T12:55:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/market\/market\/analysis\/eur-aud-forecast-2026-nov-9-14\/"},"modified":"2026-11-11T05:05:07","modified_gmt":"2026-11-11T01:05:07","slug":"eur-aud-forecast-2026-nov-9-14","status":"publish","type":"market_article","link":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/forecast\/eur-aud-forecast-2026-nov-9-14\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/AUD Weekly Forecast: 9\u201314 November 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"fxch-forecast-article\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-content\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-header\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-dek\">The D1 trend is neutral and price sits below the long-term average, while positive momentum and a bullish H4 state keep both sides of the range in play.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-status fxch-forecast-status--current\" role=\"status\"><strong>Current weekly forecast:<\/strong> This outlook covers 9\u201314 November 2026 and remains valid until 14 November 2026, unless its stated invalidation condition is triggered earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-daily-check\"><strong>Daily check &mdash; 11 November 2026:<\/strong> The latest completed D1 close was 1.62580 on 10 November 2026. It remains between the formal invalidation levels 1.60688 and 1.63876. The authored weekly thesis remains valid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card\">\n<figure class=\"ce-content-image fxch-forecast-article-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1680\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png\" class=\"ce-lightbox-trigger\" alt=\"EUR\/AUD D1 technical analysis chart\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Open EUR\/AUD technical chart\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-full-src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png 1680w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-2048x1170.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><figcaption>EUR\/AUD D1 technical-analysis context for the weekly forecast. Chart data captured 11 November 2026.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<aside class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__panel\" aria-label=\"EUR\/AUD weekly forecast summary\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__kicker\">Weekly forecast<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__pair\">EUR\/AUD<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__range\">9\u201314 Nov 2026<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__bias fxch-forecast-chart-card__bias--neutral\"><span>Bias<\/span> Neutral<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__latest\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__label\">Price at last update<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__price\">1.62472<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__time\">Updated 11 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT+3<\/span><\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__levels\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__level--support\">\n<dt>Support<\/dt>\n<dd>1.61640<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__level--resistance\">\n<dt>Resistance<\/dt>\n<dd>1.62856<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<section id=\"weekly-at-a-glance\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/AUD Weekly Forecast at a Glance<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-grid\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--price\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Price at last update<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">1.62472<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Updated 11 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT+3<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--bias fxch-forecast-summary-card--bias-neutral\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Weekly bias<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">Neutral<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">The Neutral reading follows the D1 trend state, which is neutral, rather than the bullish H4 tactical state. Positive D1 momentum and closes above the EMA20 and EMA50 support the upside case, but the close below the SMA200 and the mixed D1 close sequence stop the weekly picture from leaning either way.<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--timeframe\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Primary timeframe<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">D1<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Controls the weekly thesis<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--timeframe\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Tactical timeframe<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">H4<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Confirmation and warning signals<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--validity\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Validity<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">9\u201314 Nov 2026<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Through 14 November 2026<\/small><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__head\">\n<h3><svg class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__icon\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.7\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14 3H6a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v14a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h12a2 2 0 0 0 2-2V9z\"\/><path d=\"M14 3v6h6M8 13h8M8 17h5\"\/><\/svg>In brief<\/h3>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__badges\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__status fxch-forecast-answer__status--live\">LIVE<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__pair\">EUR\/AUD<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__summary\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__thesis\">Neutral bias for EURAUD over 9\u201314 November 2026: D1 trend is neutral and price sits below the 1.63532 SMA200, while positive momentum and a bullish H4 state keep upside pressure visible.<\/p>\n<p>Heading into the week, EUR\/AUD trades between the D1 primary support at 1.6164 and primary resistance at 1.62856. The reference close of 1.62262 sits above the EMA20 and EMA50 but below the SMA200 at 1.63532, which defines a neutral weekly structure. Price has recovered into the middle of its recent moving-average structure, yet it has not reached the long-term average, and the D1 close sequence remains mixed rather than producing a clean run of higher or lower closes.<\/p>\n<p>Momentum gives the upside case more substance than the trend alone does. D1 MACD sits above its signal line with a positive histogram and RSI is above 50, so momentum supports the constructive tone even though the MACD itself remains negative. The H4 chart adds bullish tactical texture, with its close above the EMA20, EMA50 and Bollinger middle, but that short-term strength cannot override the D1 picture. A completed D1 close above 1.62856 would be the first step toward testing the SMA200 at 1.63532 and the bullish reference target at 1.64184, while a completed D1 close below 1.6164 would bring the EMA50 at 1.61032 back into focus.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-brief\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row\">\n<dt>Bullish targets<\/dt>\n<dd>\n<ol class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__targets fxch-forecast-positive\">\n<li><span>T1<\/span><strong>1.63532<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><span>T2<\/span><strong>1.64184<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row\">\n<dt>Bearish targets<\/dt>\n<dd>\n<ol class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__targets fxch-forecast-negative\">\n<li><span>T1<\/span><strong>1.61032<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><span>T2<\/span><strong>1.60452<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row fxch-forecast-brief__row--invalidation\">\n<dt>Invalidation<\/dt>\n<dd>One completed D1 close above <strong>1.63876<\/strong> or below <strong>1.60688<\/strong>.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__calendar\">\n<h4>Selected key events<\/h4>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__events\" role=\"list\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__event\">ECB President Lagarde Speaks<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__when\">12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__impact\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact fxch-forecast-impact--medium\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact__bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span>Medium<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap\">\n<table>\n<caption>EUR\/AUD weekly forecast figures<\/caption>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Price at last update<\/th>\n<td>1.62472 as of 11 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT+3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Completed D1 reference close<\/th>\n<td>1.62262 as of 6 November 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Primary support<\/th>\n<td>1.61640<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Secondary support<\/th>\n<td>1.61032<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Primary resistance<\/th>\n<td>1.62856<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Bullish targets<\/th>\n<td>1.63532, 1.64184<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Bearish targets<\/th>\n<td>1.61032, 1.60452<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Formal weekly thesis invalidation<\/th>\n<td>Upper 1.63876 \u2014 One completed D1 close above 1.63876 formally invalidates the neutral weekly thesis.<br \/>Lower 1.60688 \u2014 One completed D1 close below 1.60688 formally invalidates the neutral weekly thesis.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"live-tools\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Live EUR\/AUD Tools<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__lede\">A forecast is a snapshot. These pages keep moving with the market.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__grid\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card fxch-forecast-tools__card--wide fxch-forecast-tools__card--featured\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__live\">Live<\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/\">Live chart &amp; price<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Watch EUR\/AUD move tick by tick. Flip from the 1-minute chart to the monthly, with trading conditions right alongside.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Open the live chart <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 400 72\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" focusable=\"false\"><path class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-fill\" d=\"M0 52 28 46 52 55 84 38 112 44 140 30 172 40 204 24 236 33 268 18 300 27 332 12 364 20 388 8H400V72H0Z\"\/><path class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-line\" d=\"M0 52 28 46 52 55 84 38 112 44 140 30 172 40 204 24 236 33 268 18 300 27 332 12 364 20 388 8\"\/><\/svg><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-dot\"><\/span><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card fxch-forecast-tools__card--wide\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__live\">Live<\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/technical\/\">Technical signals<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Buy, sell or sit it out? Oscillators, moving averages and pivot points boiled down to one clear reading, updated live.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">See today&#039;s signals <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-bars\" viewBox=\"3 0 400 72\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" focusable=\"false\"><rect x=\"8\" y=\"30\" width=\"10\" height=\"12\"\/><rect x=\"28\" y=\"24\" width=\"10\" height=\"18\"\/><rect x=\"48\" y=\"16\" width=\"10\" height=\"26\"\/><rect x=\"68\" y=\"22\" width=\"10\" height=\"20\"\/><rect x=\"88\" y=\"32\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\"\/><rect x=\"108\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"8\"\/><rect x=\"128\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"16\"\/><rect x=\"148\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"22\"\/><rect x=\"168\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"14\"\/><rect x=\"188\" y=\"36\" width=\"10\" height=\"6\"\/><rect x=\"208\" y=\"26\" width=\"10\" height=\"16\"\/><rect x=\"228\" y=\"14\" width=\"10\" height=\"28\"\/><rect x=\"248\" y=\"8\" width=\"10\" height=\"34\"\/><rect x=\"268\" y=\"18\" width=\"10\" height=\"24\"\/><rect x=\"288\" y=\"30\" width=\"10\" height=\"12\"\/><rect x=\"308\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\"\/><rect x=\"328\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"18\"\/><rect x=\"348\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"9\"\/><rect x=\"368\" y=\"28\" width=\"10\" height=\"14\"\/><rect x=\"388\" y=\"18\" width=\"10\" height=\"24\"\/><\/svg><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><rect x=\"3\" y=\"4\" width=\"18\" height=\"17\" rx=\"2\"\/><path d=\"M8 2v4M16 2v4M3 10h18M8 15h2M14 15h2\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/economic-calendar\/\">Economic calendar<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Know what&#039;s coming before it hits the price: every scheduled release with impact, forecast and actual.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Check the calendar <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 3v16a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h16M9 5v4M9 15v2M17 3v2M17 13v3\"\/><rect x=\"7\" y=\"9\" width=\"4\" height=\"6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect x=\"15\" y=\"5\" width=\"4\" height=\"8\" rx=\"1\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/historical-data\/\">Historical data<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Open, high, low and close on any timeframe from 1 minute to monthly. Test your idea, then download the data.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Browse the history <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"9.5\"\/><path d=\"m16.24 7.76-2.12 6.36-6.36 2.12 2.12-6.36z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/forecast\/\">All EUR\/AUD forecasts<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Every weekly outlook in one place. Scroll back to see how earlier calls played out against the chart.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Read past forecasts <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"fundamental-drivers\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/AUD Fundamental Drivers This Week<\/h2>\n<p>Scheduled economic events relevant to EUR\/AUD during 9\u201314 November 2026 include ECB President Lagarde Speaks. Directional impact depends on the released data relative to supplied expectations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-table-hint\">Scroll table sideways for more columns \u2192<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap fxch-forecast-table-wrap--wide fxch-forecast-drivers\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"Fundamental drivers table\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Event<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Scheduled<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Importance<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">ECB President Lagarde Speaks<\/th>\n<td>12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3<\/td>\n<td><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact fxch-forecast-impact--medium\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact__bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span>Medium<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"market-context\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Current EUR\/AUD Price and Weekly Market Context<\/h2>\n<p>D1 is the controlling timeframe and it is neutral. Price has moved above its short and medium moving averages but remains below the SMA200 at 1.63532, which is also the secondary resistance, so the long-term average caps the upside. Momentum leans positive, which keeps the upper half of the range credible, while the H4 chart shows bullish tactical conditions that confirm near-term pressure without yet repairing the daily picture. Volatility is expanding, which points to larger or faster moves around the range boundaries but does not indicate direction.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-states\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--neutral\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">D1 trend<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">neutral<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">Close vs 50 EMA and 200 SMA<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--positive\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 17l6-6 4 4 8-8\"\/><path d=\"M15 7h6v6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">H4 tactical<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">bullish<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">H4 close vs 20 and 50 EMA<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--positive\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 17l6-6 4 4 8-8\"\/><path d=\"M15 7h6v6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">Momentum<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">positive<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">RSI and MACD histogram<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 10V3\"\/><path d=\"M8 7l4-4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M12 14v7\"\/><path d=\"M8 17l4 4 4-4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">Volatility<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">expanding<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">D1 ATR change<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenarios\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Is EUR\/AUD Bullish or Bearish This Week?<\/h2>\n<p>The base case is a two-sided range between the 1.6164 and 1.62856 boundaries, with a neutral bias because neither side yet has a completed D1 close to resolve it. The bullish case needs D1 acceptance above resistance backed by H4 strength, while the bearish case needs D1 acceptance below support with H4 weakness. The ECB speech adds a scheduled volatility window that could accelerate either path.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-nav\" role=\"list\" aria-label=\"Jump to a scenario\">\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bullish\" href=\"#scenario-bullish\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 17l6-6 4 4 6-7\"\/><path d=\"M15 8h5v5\"\/><\/svg>Bullish continuation<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--base\" href=\"#scenario-base\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M8 8l-4 4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Base \/ neutral<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bearish\" href=\"#scenario-bearish\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 7l6 6 4-4 6 7\"\/><path d=\"M15 16h5v-5\"\/><\/svg>Bearish reversal<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenarios\">\n<section id=\"scenario-bullish\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bullish\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-bullish-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-bullish-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 17l6-6 4 4 6-7\"\/><path d=\"M15 8h5v5\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 1 of 3<\/span>Bullish continuation<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close above 1.62856 would shift the weekly structure toward the bullish side and bring the SMA200 at 1.63532 into play as the next test.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>An H4 close above the H4 resistance at 1.62629 would show short-term pressure pushing through its own ceiling and would support a D1 upside attempt.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>1.63532, 1.64184<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A failure to hold above 1.62856 after a completed D1 close above it, or an H4 return below the H4 support at 1.61764, would weaken the upside case and return price to the range.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenario-base\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--base\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-base-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-base-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M8 8l-4 4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 2 of 3<\/span>Base \/ neutral<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>Completed D1 closes staying between 1.6164 and 1.62856 would confirm that the range remains in control and that neither side has resolved the structure.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>H4 closes moving between the H4 support at 1.61764 and the H4 resistance at 1.62629 would reflect tactical back-and-forth without a clear push toward either boundary.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>A range between 1.6164 and 1.62856, with the H4 range between 1.61764 and 1.62629 governing tactical oscillation.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close outside the 1.6164 to 1.62856 range would end the range phase and shift emphasis toward whichever side the close favors.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenario-bearish\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bearish\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-bearish-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-bearish-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 7l6 6 4-4 6 7\"\/><path d=\"M15 16h5v-5\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 3 of 3<\/span>Bearish reversal<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close below 1.6164 would signal that the D1 structure is moving lower, with the 1.61032 and 1.60452 levels then serving as the bearish reference targets.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>An H4 close below the H4 support at 1.61764 would show short-term momentum failing at the lower tactical boundary and would support a D1 test of the downside.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>1.61032, 1.60452<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A recovery to a completed D1 close above 1.62856, or an H4 close back above the H4 resistance at 1.62629, would weaken the downside case and restore the upside structure.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--neutral\"><strong>Conditional interpretation:<\/strong> The scenarios are alternatives rather than a forecast of which one will occur. Only a completed D1 close can change the weekly structure, so H4 moves act as early signals. The mixed close sequence and falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes mean the bullish case must work through overhead resistance, while the bearish case must overcome a positive momentum backdrop.<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"technical-analysis\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/AUD D1 Outlook and H4 Technical Triggers<\/h2>\n<p>The daily timeframe controls the weekly thesis. H4 evidence is used only for earlier confirmation, tactical warning and scenario-failure context. Complete live H4, H1 and intraday readings remain on the <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/technical\/\">Technical page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"ce-content-image fxch-forecast-article-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1680\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png\" class=\"ce-lightbox-trigger\" alt=\"EUR\/AUD D1 technical analysis chart\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Open EUR\/AUD technical chart\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-full-src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png 1680w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/euraud-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-2048x1170.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><figcaption>EUR\/AUD D1 technical-analysis context for the weekly forecast. Chart data captured 11 November 2026.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>D1 Price Action and Market Structure<\/h3>\n<p>The reference close of 1.62262 sits above the EMA20 at 1.60395, the EMA50 at 1.61032 and the Bollinger middle at 1.60132, but below the SMA200 at 1.63532. Within the 1.6164 to 1.62856 range, the close sequence is mixed, meaning recent closes have not produced a decisive run in one direction. Price is constructive relative to the shorter averages but unresolved against the long-term trend.<\/p>\n<h3>H4 Tactical Triggers<\/h3>\n<p>The H4 close of 1.6211 sits above H4 support at 1.61764 and below H4 resistance at 1.62629, so the tactical chart is inside its own range with an upward tilt. H4 MACD is above its signal with a positive histogram, and RSI is above 50, which supports the bullish H4 state. The histogram is only marginally positive, and the H4 resistance at 1.62629 sits above the D1 reference close, so short-term strength confirms pressure without yet removing the D1 resistance question. H4 provides timing context and early warning rather than the weekly thesis.<\/p>\n<h3>Technical Indicators at a Glance<\/h3>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum\">\n<div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__eyebrow\">Automated technical summary<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__text\">The D1 trend is neutral with a mixed close sequence, positive momentum and expanding volatility. H4 is bullish. Price sits inside the D1 range between 1.6164 and 1.62856 and below the SMA200 at 1.63532.<\/p>\n<p><small class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__meta\">Selected snapshot: D1 with H4 tactical context. Updated 11 November 2026.<\/small><\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-signals\" role=\"list\" aria-label=\"Indicator signals\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">RSI<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">60.96<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">MACD<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">Above signal<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--positive\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 17l6-6 4 4 8-8\"\/><path d=\"M15 7h6v6\"\/><\/svg>Bullish<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">Bollinger Bands<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">96% of band<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Upper half<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">Moving averages<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">Between<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">ATR<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">114.5 pips<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 10V3\"\/><path d=\"M8 7l4-4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M12 14v7\"\/><path d=\"M8 17l4 4 4-4\"\/><\/svg>Expanding<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator-grid\">\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">RSI <span>(14)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"RSI on a 0 to 100 scale. D1 is 60.96 (neutral) and H4 is 63.39 (neutral). Oversold is below 30 and overbought is above 70.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin\" style=\"--pos:61%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">D1 <b>60.96<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__track\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--alert\" style=\"width:30%\">Oversold<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:40%\">Neutral 30\u201370<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--alert\" style=\"width:30%\">Overbought<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin fxch-forecast-gauge__pin--below\" style=\"--pos:63.4%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">H4 <b>63.39<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">D1 RSI above 50 supports the constructive short-term tone, and H4 RSI above 50 reinforces upward tactical pressure. RSI adds support to the momentum argument but does not override the neutral D1 trend on its own.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 RSI<\/dt>\n<dd>60.96<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>H4 RSI<\/dt>\n<dd>63.39<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">MACD <span>(12, 26, 9)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--positive\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 17l6-6 4 4 8-8\"\/><path d=\"M15 7h6v6\"\/><\/svg>Bullish momentum<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd\">\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__legend\" role=\"list\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key\"><\/span>MACD<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key fxch-forecast-macd__key--signal\"><\/span>Signal<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key fxch-forecast-macd__key--hist\"><\/span>Histogram + \/ \u2212<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__plot\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__zero\" aria-hidden=\"true\">0<\/span><svg viewBox=\"0 0 300 120\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" role=\"img\" focusable=\"false\" aria-label=\"D1 MACD over the last 30 sessions. The MACD line at -0.000776 is above its signal line at -0.004385, with the histogram at 0.003609.\"><line class=\"is-zero\" x1=\"0\" x2=\"300\" y1=\"60\" y2=\"60\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"1.5\" y=\"49.9\" width=\"7\" height=\"10.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"11.5\" y=\"48.4\" width=\"7\" height=\"11.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"21.5\" y=\"44.7\" width=\"7\" height=\"15.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"31.5\" y=\"46.7\" width=\"7\" height=\"13.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"41.5\" y=\"50.5\" width=\"7\" height=\"9.5\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"51.5\" y=\"56.9\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"61.5\" y=\"59.8\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"71.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"81.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.9\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"91.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"7.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"101.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"9.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"111.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"9.4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"121.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"10.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"131.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"141.5\" y=\"56.4\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"151.5\" y=\"58.4\" width=\"7\" height=\"1.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"161.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"171.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"181.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"191.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"9.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"201.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"10.4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"211.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"14.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"221.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"16.8\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"231.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"13.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"241.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"11.4\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"251.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"261.5\" y=\"55.4\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"271.5\" y=\"51.5\" width=\"7\" height=\"8.5\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"281.5\" y=\"42.3\" width=\"7\" height=\"17.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos is-latest\" x=\"291.5\" y=\"35.1\" width=\"7\" height=\"24.9\" rx=\"1\"\/><polyline class=\"is-signal\" points=\"5,84.7 15,81.8 25,78 35,74.6 45,72.3 55,71.5 65,71.4 75,72.3 85,73.3 95,75.1 105,77.3 115,79.7 125,82.3 135,82.6 145,81.7 155,81.3 165,81.4 175,82.5 185,84.2 195,86.6 205,89.2 215,92.8 225,97 235,100.3 245,103.1 255,104.2 265,103 275,100.9 285,96.5 295,90.2\"\/><polyline class=\"is-macd\" points=\"5,74.6 15,70.1 25,62.7 35,61.3 45,62.7 55,68.4 65,71.3 75,75.7 85,77.2 95,82.2 105,86.5 115,89.1 125,92.6 135,83.8 145,78.1 155,79.7 165,81.9 175,86.9 185,90.7 195,96.3 205,99.7 215,107 225,113.8 235,113.5 245,114.5 255,108.4 265,98.4 275,92.4 285,78.7 295,65.4\"\/><\/svg><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__axis\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span>30 D1 sessions ago<\/span><span>Latest<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">D1 MACD is above its signal line and the histogram is positive, so momentum leans upward even though both MACD and signal remain negative. This is a developing recovery from a below-zero base, which is a weaker form of confirmation than a positive MACD reading. H4 MACD is also above its signal with a positive but very small histogram, so the short-term impulse is present but fragile.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>MACD<\/dt>\n<dd>-0.000776<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Signal<\/dt>\n<dd>-0.004385<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Histogram<\/dt>\n<dd>0.003609<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">Bollinger Bands <span>(20, 2\u03c3)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Upper half<\/span><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge fxch-forecast-gauge--ticks\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Latest D1 close 1.62262 sits inside the Bollinger Bands, 96% of the way from the lower band at 1.57813 to the upper band at 1.62451.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin\" style=\"--pos:82.1%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">Close <b>1.62262<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__track\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--outside\" style=\"width:15%\"><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:35%\">Lower half<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:35%\">Upper half<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--outside\" style=\"width:15%\"><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__ticks\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:15%\">Lower<b>1.57813<\/b><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:50%\">Middle<b>1.60132<\/b><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:85%\">Upper<b>1.62451<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__caption\">Striped ends = price outside the bands.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">The D1 close sits above the Bollinger middle, placing price in the upper half of the band structure and supporting the constructive short-term tone. The bands describe where price sits within its recent volatility envelope and serve as context for trend location rather than as forecast levels.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>Position in band<\/dt>\n<dd>96%<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Band width<\/dt>\n<dd>463.8 pips (2.90%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">Moving averages <span>(D1)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral structure<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__axis\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span>Price below average<\/span><span>Price above average<\/span><\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-ma\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__row\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__name\">50 EMA <span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__slope\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>falling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__value\">1.61032<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__fill\" style=\"--w:78.7%\"><\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__dist\">Price is <b>123.0 pips above<\/b> (+0.76%)<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__row\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__name\">200 SMA <span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__slope\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>falling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__value\">1.63532<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__fill fxch-forecast-ma__fill--below\" style=\"--w:80%\"><\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__dist\">Price is <b>127.0 pips below<\/b> (-0.78%)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">D1 price is above the EMA20 and EMA50 but below the SMA200, which is the central structural tension of the week. The falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes mean the medium and long-term averages are not yet supporting an upward trend. The EMA50 at 1.61032 is also the secondary support, so a close below that average would carry structural weight. On H4, the close is above both the EMA20 and EMA50, which supports tactical strength.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 close<\/dt>\n<dd>1.62262<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>50 EMA<\/dt>\n<dd>1.61032<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>200 SMA<\/dt>\n<dd>1.63532<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator fxch-forecast-indicator--wide\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">ATR <span>(14)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 10V3\"\/><path d=\"M8 7l4-4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M12 14v7\"\/><path d=\"M8 17l4 4 4-4\"\/><\/svg>Expanding volatility<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__split\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range\" style=\"--gutter:9ch\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Typical move size around the latest close of 1.62262. One D1 ATR is 114.5 pips, spanning 1.61117 to 1.63407. One H4 ATR is 57.4 pips, spanning 1.61688 to 1.62836.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__close\">Close <b>1.62262<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__cap\">Typical 1-day move <b>\u00b1114.5 pips<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range__bar\" style=\"--w:1\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__lo\">1.61117<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__hi\">1.63407<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__cap\">Typical 4-hour move <b>\u00b157.4 pips<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range__bar fxch-forecast-range__bar--h4\" style=\"--w:0.501\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__lo\">1.61688<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__hi\">1.62836<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__caption\">One ATR either side of the latest close. A measure of move size, not a price target.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">D1 ATR of 0.01145 and H4 ATR of 0.00574 both describe an expanding volatility environment. Expanding volatility can mean larger moves and faster tests of the range boundaries, but it does not indicate direction on its own; the bias rests on D1 structure and momentum.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 ATR<\/dt>\n<dd>0.01145 (0.71%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>H4 ATR<\/dt>\n<dd>0.00574 (0.35%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Technical conclusion:<\/strong> The weekly thesis stays Neutral because the D1 structure is unresolved: price is above the short and medium averages but below the SMA200, and the close sequence is mixed. Positive D1 momentum is the strongest supporting evidence, and the bullish H4 state is the most meaningful tactical support. The main counterargument is that the SMA200 at 1.63532 caps the picture while the falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes keep the medium-term trend from confirming. The levels that matter next are primary resistance at 1.62856 and primary support at 1.6164, with secondary support at 1.61032 providing the next structural check.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/technical\/\">View all live EUR\/AUD oscillators, moving averages, pivot points and timeframe signals<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"levels\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/AUD Weekly Support, Resistance and Invalidation<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap fxch-forecast-levels\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Level<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Timeframe<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Why it matters<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>1.6164<\/td>\n<td>Primary support<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>Lower boundary of the current D1 range; a completed D1 close below it opens the bearish scenario.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.61032<\/td>\n<td>Secondary support<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>Matches the D1 EMA50, adding moving-average weight to the next downside checkpoint.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.60452<\/td>\n<td>Third support<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>Lower bearish reference target and the deepest supplied D1 support level.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.61764<\/td>\n<td>H4 support<\/td>\n<td>H4<\/td>\n<td>Tactical floor; an H4 close below it would warn that short-term strength is fading.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.62629<\/td>\n<td>H4 resistance<\/td>\n<td>H4<\/td>\n<td>Tactical ceiling; an H4 close above it supports the bullish H4 trigger.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.62856<\/td>\n<td>Primary resistance<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>Upper boundary of the current D1 range and the level a completed D1 close must clear for the bullish scenario.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.63532<\/td>\n<td>Secondary resistance<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>Matches the D1 SMA200 and is the first bullish reference target, sitting under a falling long-term average.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.64184<\/td>\n<td>Third resistance<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>Upper bullish reference target beyond the SMA200 level.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>These are forecast-specific market-structure levels. Formula-based Classic, Fibonacci and Camarilla pivots remain on the <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/technical\/\">Technical page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"events\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Economic News &amp; Events to Watch for EUR\/AUD This Week<\/h2>\n<p>Selected events may increase EUR\/AUD volatility. Direction depends on the released value relative to consensus and previous results.<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-table-hint\">Scroll table sideways for more columns \u2192<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap fxch-forecast-table-wrap--wide\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"Key economic events table\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Event<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Date and time<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Importance<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Previous<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Consensus<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">ECB President Lagarde Speaks<\/th>\n<td>12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3<\/td>\n<td><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact fxch-forecast-impact--medium\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact__bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span>Medium<\/span><\/td>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Calendar source: FXGlory economic calendar. Retrieved 09 Nov 2026 15:55 GMT+3. <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/economic-calendar\/\">View the complete EUR\/AUD economic calendar<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/AUD Outlook for 9\u201314 November 2026<\/h2>\n<p>EUR\/AUD enters the week with a neutral D1 bias, and the weekly thesis depends on whether price can convert its positive momentum into a completed D1 close outside the 1.6164 to 1.62856 range. The bullish H4 state and positive D1 MACD histogram keep upside pressure credible, but the SMA200 at 1.63532 and the falling long-term slopes mean the path higher is not yet clean.<\/p>\n<p>The bearish case has less momentum support but gains relevance if a completed D1 close breaks 1.6164 and the close sequence turns lower. The ECB speech on 12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3 is the main scheduled volatility window and could accelerate tests of either boundary. Until a completed D1 close resolves the range, the weekly picture remains two-sided.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"risks\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Weekly Forecast Risks and What Would Change the Outlook<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--risk\"><strong>Main forecast risk:<\/strong> The main risk is the disagreement between H4 and D1: the bullish H4 tactical state is not yet supported by D1 structure, which remains below the SMA200 at 1.63532 with a mixed close sequence.<\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-risks\">\n<li><strong>Timeframe disagreement:<\/strong> H4 is bullish while D1 is neutral, so short-term strength can fade before the weekly structure changes.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Overhead long-term average:<\/strong> The D1 close sits below the SMA200 at 1.63532, which is also the secondary resistance, and the SMA200 slope is falling.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mixed D1 close sequence:<\/strong> Without a run of consistent closes, the range can persist and produce false starts near the 1.6164 and 1.62856 boundaries.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Expanding volatility:<\/strong> With a D1 ATR of 0.01145, moves can be larger and faster than the range suggests, raising whipsaw risk near the boundaries.<\/li>\n<li><strong>ECB event timing:<\/strong> The speech scheduled for 12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3 falls mid-week and could add volatility to EUR\/AUD around the range boundaries.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Formal weekly invalidation:<\/strong> The neutral weekly thesis is formally invalidated by one completed D1 close above 1.63876 or below 1.60688.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"faq\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/AUD Weekly Forecast FAQs<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\" open>\n<summary>\n<h3>Is EUR\/AUD bullish or bearish this week?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The weekly bias is Neutral. The D1 trend is neutral and the close sequence is mixed, so the stronger H4 and momentum readings are treated as supportive context rather than the controlling signal. The result is a conditional picture rather than a directional lean.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What scenario would strengthen for EUR\/AUD this week?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The primary reading is range development between 1.6164 and 1.62856 unless a completed D1 close resolves the range. The bullish scenario gains relevance on a completed D1 close above 1.62856, while the bearish scenario gains relevance on a completed D1 close below 1.6164.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What are the key EUR\/AUD support and resistance levels?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>D1 supports sit at 1.6164, 1.61032 and 1.60452, and D1 resistances sit at 1.62856, 1.63532 and 1.64184. The 1.61032 support matches the D1 EMA50 and the 1.63532 resistance matches the D1 SMA200, which gives those two levels extra moving-average weight. H4 levels at 1.61764 and 1.62629 frame the shorter-term tactical range.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What would invalidate this EUR\/AUD forecast?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The neutral weekly thesis is formally invalidated by one completed D1 close above 1.63876 or below 1.60688.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"methodology\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Methodology, Data and Sources<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-source-list\">\n<li><strong>Price-data source:<\/strong> FXGlory price feed (EURAUD)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Live quote timestamp:<\/strong> 11 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT+3<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weekly analysis timestamp:<\/strong> 9 November 2026<\/li>\n<li><strong>Chart timestamp:<\/strong> 11 November 2026 (redrawn daily)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Daily check:<\/strong> Every day at 04:00 GMT+3: the latest completed D1 close is checked against the invalidation levels and the chart is redrawn.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Technical snapshot timestamp:<\/strong> 9 November 2026<\/li>\n<li><strong>Calendar-data source:<\/strong> FXGlory economic calendar<\/li>\n<li><strong>Calendar retrieval timestamp:<\/strong> 09 Nov 2026 15:55 GMT+3<\/li>\n<li><strong>Candle convention:<\/strong> FXGlory D1 and H4 candles; D1 candle dates are evaluated in UTC and invalidation uses completed D1 closes only.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indicator settings:<\/strong> D1 RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), Bollinger Bands(20,2), EMA(50), SMA(200), ATR(14); H4 RSI\/MACD\/Bollinger\/EMA\/ATR.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Level-selection method:<\/strong> Weekly D1 support\/resistance levels are structural market levels. Formal invalidation uses a hard 0.75\u00d7 D1 ATR(14) minimum anchor distance plus a 0.30\u00d7 D1 ATR(14) outward buffer; H4 levels are tactical only.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weekly forecast method:<\/strong> D1 controls the weekly thesis; H4 supplies tactical confirmation\/warning only.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div><strong>Primary and supporting sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-source-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/historical-data\/\">Historical EUR\/AUD price data<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/technical\/\">Live EUR\/AUD technical indicators<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-aud\/economic-calendar\/\">EUR\/AUD economic calendar<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--neutral\"><strong>Timestamp policy:<\/strong> the live quote and the D1 chart update automatically during the week. The completed D1 reference close, indicator snapshot and authored conclusions remain tied to the completed D1 candle used for authoring unless the article receives a genuine substantive update.<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<footer class=\"fxch-forecast-footer-note\">\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> This EUR\/AUD analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a personalized recommendation, an offer to trade or a guarantee of future performance. Forecasts are uncertain, market conditions can change rapidly and leveraged trading can result in substantial losses.<\/p>\n<p>Verify the latest price and consider your circumstances and risk tolerance before making financial decisions.<\/p>\n<\/footer>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Neutral bias for EURAUD over 9\u201314 November 2026: D1 trend is neutral and price sits below the 1.63532 SMA200, while positive momentum and a bullish H4 state keep upside pressure visible.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":43244,"template":"","market_instrument":[79],"market_content_type":[44],"class_list":["post-57943","market_article","type-market_article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_instrument-eur-aud","market_content_type-forecast"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article\/57943","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article\/57943\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43244"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57943"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_instrument","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_instrument?post=57943"},{"taxonomy":"market_content_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_content_type?post=57943"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}