{"id":57813,"date":"2026-11-08T18:16:00","date_gmt":"2026-11-08T14:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/market\/market\/analysis\/eur-cad-forecast-2026-nov-8-14\/"},"modified":"2026-11-11T05:45:07","modified_gmt":"2026-11-11T01:45:07","slug":"eur-cad-forecast-2026-nov-8-14","status":"publish","type":"market_article","link":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/forecast\/eur-cad-forecast-2026-nov-8-14\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/CAD Weekly Forecast: 8\u201314 November 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"fxch-forecast-article\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-content\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-header\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-dek\">The D1 trend still leads the weekly thesis, but price has recovered into a narrow zone beneath key moving averages while H4 momentum has turned constructive.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-status fxch-forecast-status--current\" role=\"status\"><strong>Current weekly forecast:<\/strong> This outlook covers 8\u201314 November 2026 and remains valid until 14 November 2026, unless its stated invalidation condition is triggered earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-daily-check\"><strong>Daily check &mdash; 11 November 2026:<\/strong> The latest completed D1 close was 1.58376 on 10 November 2026. It remains below the upper formal invalidation level 1.58775; the lower calibrated boundary 1.56550 is an extension\/confirmation boundary. The authored weekly thesis remains valid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card\">\n<figure class=\"ce-content-image fxch-forecast-article-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1680\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png\" class=\"ce-lightbox-trigger\" alt=\"EUR\/CAD D1 technical analysis chart\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Open EUR\/CAD technical chart\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-full-src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png 1680w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-technical-analysis-for-11.11.2026-2048x1170.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><figcaption>EUR\/CAD D1 technical-analysis context for the weekly forecast. Chart data captured 11 November 2026.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<aside class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__panel\" aria-label=\"EUR\/CAD weekly forecast summary\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__kicker\">Weekly forecast<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__pair\">EUR\/CAD<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__range\">8\u201314 Nov 2026<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__bias fxch-forecast-chart-card__bias--negative\"><span>Bias<\/span> Bearish<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__latest\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__label\">Price at last update<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__price\">1.58461<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__time\">Updated 11 Nov 2026 06:40 GMT+3<\/span><\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__levels\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__level--support\">\n<dt>Support<\/dt>\n<dd>1.56550<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-chart-card__level--resistance\">\n<dt>Resistance<\/dt>\n<dd>1.58775<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<section id=\"weekly-at-a-glance\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/CAD Weekly Forecast at a Glance<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-grid\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--price\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Price at last update<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">1.58461<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Updated 11 Nov 2026 06:40 GMT+3<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--bias fxch-forecast-summary-card--bias-negative\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Weekly bias<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">Bearish<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">The bearish bias rests on the D1 trend state, with price below the D1 EMA20, EMA50, SMA200 and Bollinger middle. The bullish H4 state is treated as tactical context only and does not change the weekly bias.<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--timeframe\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Primary timeframe<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">D1<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Controls the weekly thesis<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--timeframe\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Tactical timeframe<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">H4<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Confirmation and warning signals<\/small><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card fxch-forecast-summary-card--validity\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__label\">Validity<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__value\">8\u201314 Nov 2026<\/strong><small class=\"fxch-forecast-summary-card__note\">Through 14 November 2026<\/small><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__head\">\n<h3><svg class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__icon\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.7\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14 3H6a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v14a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h12a2 2 0 0 0 2-2V9z\"\/><path d=\"M14 3v6h6M8 13h8M8 17h5\"\/><\/svg>In brief<\/h3>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__badges\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__status fxch-forecast-answer__status--live\">LIVE<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__pair\">EUR\/CAD<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__summary\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-answer__thesis\">EUR\/CAD carries a bearish weekly bias because the D1 trend, price below the SMA200 and falling moving averages control the thesis, though H4 has turned bullish and D1 momentum is mixed.<\/p>\n<p>The weekly thesis is built on the D1 chart, where the trend state is bearish and the close of 1.57376 sits beneath the EMA20 at 1.57507, the EMA50 at 1.58775 and the SMA200 at 1.60333. The EMA50 and SMA200 are both sloping lower, which indicates that the longer-term average structure still leans against price recovery. Price has, however, produced a run of consecutive higher closes and remains above the primary D1 support at 1.5655, so the market is not yet under structural pressure to the downside.<\/p>\n<p>D1 momentum is mixed rather than decisively bearish. The MACD line sits above its signal line even though both remain negative, and the histogram is positive, while RSI at 43.79 remains below the midpoint. H4 has moved to a bullish tactical state, with price above its moving averages and RSI at 63.49, but the close still sits marginally beneath the H4 resistance at 1.57378. This keeps the bias bearish while leaving room for a short-term rebound to test higher levels before the D1 structure is resolved.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-brief\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row\">\n<dt>Bullish targets<\/dt>\n<dd>\n<ol class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__targets fxch-forecast-positive\">\n<li><span>T1<\/span><strong>1.59585<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><span>T2<\/span><strong>1.60165<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row\">\n<dt>Bearish targets<\/dt>\n<dd>\n<ol class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__targets fxch-forecast-negative\">\n<li><span>T1<\/span><strong>1.55493<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__row fxch-forecast-brief__row--invalidation\">\n<dt>Invalidation<\/dt>\n<dd>One completed D1 close above <strong>1.58775<\/strong>.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__calendar\">\n<h4>Selected key events<\/h4>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__events\" role=\"list\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__event\">ECB President Lagarde Speaks<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__when\">12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-brief__impact\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact fxch-forecast-impact--medium\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact__bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span>Medium<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap\">\n<table>\n<caption>EUR\/CAD weekly forecast figures<\/caption>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Price at last update<\/th>\n<td>1.58461 as of 11 Nov 2026 06:40 GMT+3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Completed D1 reference close<\/th>\n<td>1.57376 as of 6 November 2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Primary support<\/th>\n<td>1.56550<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Secondary support<\/th>\n<td>1.55493<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Primary resistance<\/th>\n<td>1.58775<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Bullish targets<\/th>\n<td>1.59585, 1.60165<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Bearish targets<\/th>\n<td>1.55493<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">Formal weekly thesis invalidation<\/th>\n<td>Upper 1.58775 \u2014 One completed D1 close above 1.58775 formally invalidates the bearish weekly thesis.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"live-tools\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Live EUR\/CAD Tools<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools\">\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__lede\">A forecast is a snapshot. These pages keep moving with the market.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__grid\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card fxch-forecast-tools__card--wide fxch-forecast-tools__card--featured\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__live\">Live<\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/\">Live chart &amp; price<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Watch EUR\/CAD move tick by tick. Flip from the 1-minute chart to the monthly, with trading conditions right alongside.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Open the live chart <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 400 72\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" focusable=\"false\"><path class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-fill\" d=\"M0 52 28 46 52 55 84 38 112 44 140 30 172 40 204 24 236 33 268 18 300 27 332 12 364 20 388 8H400V72H0Z\"\/><path class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-line\" d=\"M0 52 28 46 52 55 84 38 112 44 140 30 172 40 204 24 236 33 268 18 300 27 332 12 364 20 388 8\"\/><\/svg><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-dot\"><\/span><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card fxch-forecast-tools__card--wide\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__live\">Live<\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/technical\/\">Technical signals<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Buy, sell or sit it out? Oscillators, moving averages and pivot points boiled down to one clear reading, updated live.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">See today&#039;s signals <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__art-bars\" viewBox=\"3 0 400 72\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" focusable=\"false\"><rect x=\"8\" y=\"30\" width=\"10\" height=\"12\"\/><rect x=\"28\" y=\"24\" width=\"10\" height=\"18\"\/><rect x=\"48\" y=\"16\" width=\"10\" height=\"26\"\/><rect x=\"68\" y=\"22\" width=\"10\" height=\"20\"\/><rect x=\"88\" y=\"32\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\"\/><rect x=\"108\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"8\"\/><rect x=\"128\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"16\"\/><rect x=\"148\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"22\"\/><rect x=\"168\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"14\"\/><rect x=\"188\" y=\"36\" width=\"10\" height=\"6\"\/><rect x=\"208\" y=\"26\" width=\"10\" height=\"16\"\/><rect x=\"228\" y=\"14\" width=\"10\" height=\"28\"\/><rect x=\"248\" y=\"8\" width=\"10\" height=\"34\"\/><rect x=\"268\" y=\"18\" width=\"10\" height=\"24\"\/><rect x=\"288\" y=\"30\" width=\"10\" height=\"12\"\/><rect x=\"308\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\"\/><rect x=\"328\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"18\"\/><rect x=\"348\" y=\"42\" width=\"10\" height=\"9\"\/><rect x=\"368\" y=\"28\" width=\"10\" height=\"14\"\/><rect x=\"388\" y=\"18\" width=\"10\" height=\"24\"\/><\/svg><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><rect x=\"3\" y=\"4\" width=\"18\" height=\"17\" rx=\"2\"\/><path d=\"M8 2v4M16 2v4M3 10h18M8 15h2M14 15h2\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/economic-calendar\/\">Economic calendar<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Know what&#039;s coming before it hits the price: every scheduled release with impact, forecast and actual.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Check the calendar <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 3v16a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h16M9 5v4M9 15v2M17 3v2M17 13v3\"\/><rect x=\"7\" y=\"9\" width=\"4\" height=\"6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect x=\"15\" y=\"5\" width=\"4\" height=\"8\" rx=\"1\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/historical-data\/\">Historical data<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Open, high, low and close on any timeframe from 1 minute to monthly. Test your idea, then download the data.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Browse the history <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__card\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"9.5\"\/><path d=\"m16.24 7.76-2.12 6.36-6.36 2.12 2.12-6.36z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><br \/>\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__name\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/forecast\/\">All EUR\/CAD forecasts<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__desc\">Every weekly outlook in one place. Scroll back to see how earlier calls played out against the chart.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-tools__cta\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Read past forecasts <svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5 12h14M13 6l6 6-6 6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"fundamental-drivers\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/CAD Fundamental Drivers This Week<\/h2>\n<p>Scheduled economic events relevant to EUR\/CAD during 8\u201314 November 2026 include ECB President Lagarde Speaks. Directional impact depends on the released data relative to supplied expectations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-table-hint\">Scroll table sideways for more columns \u2192<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap fxch-forecast-table-wrap--wide fxch-forecast-drivers\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"Fundamental drivers table\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Event<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Scheduled<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Importance<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">ECB President Lagarde Speaks<\/th>\n<td>12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3<\/td>\n<td><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact fxch-forecast-impact--medium\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact__bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span>Medium<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"market-context\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Current EUR\/CAD Price and Weekly Market Context<\/h2>\n<p>The weekly structure is led by a bearish D1 trend, with price still beneath the D1 EMA20, EMA50 and SMA200 and with both the EMA50 and SMA200 sloping lower. Momentum is mixed, and H4 has turned bullish, so the tactical picture shows short-term recovery operating inside a larger bearish structure. The main weekly question is whether the D1 averages begin to cap price more decisively or whether the recent higher closes can extend into the upper zone.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-states\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--negative\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">D1 trend<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">bearish<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">Close vs 50 EMA and 200 SMA<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--positive\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 17l6-6 4 4 8-8\"\/><path d=\"M15 7h6v6\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">H4 tactical<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">bullish<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">H4 close vs 20 and 50 EMA<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state fxch-forecast-state--neutral\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M7 20V4\"\/><path d=\"M3 8l4-4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M17 4v16\"\/><path d=\"M13 16l4 4 4-4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">Momentum<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">mixed<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">RSI and MACD histogram<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-state\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 9h16\"\/><path d=\"M4 15h16\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__label\">Volatility<\/span><strong class=\"fxch-forecast-state__value\">stable<\/strong><span class=\"fxch-forecast-state__basis\">D1 ATR change<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenarios\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Is EUR\/CAD Bullish or Bearish This Week?<\/h2>\n<p>The bearish scenario remains primary, with the D1 averages and falling slopes limiting upside progress. A base scenario of consolidation between 1.5655 and 1.58775 is the main alternative, while a bullish scenario would require a D1 structural change above primary resistance before it can be treated as a reversal.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-nav\" role=\"list\" aria-label=\"Jump to a scenario\">\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bullish\" href=\"#scenario-bullish\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 17l6-6 4 4 6-7\"\/><path d=\"M15 8h5v5\"\/><\/svg>Bullish reversal<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--base\" href=\"#scenario-base\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M8 8l-4 4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Base \/ neutral<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bearish\" href=\"#scenario-bearish\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 7l6 6 4-4 6 7\"\/><path d=\"M15 16h5v-5\"\/><\/svg>Bearish continuation<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenarios\">\n<section id=\"scenario-bullish\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bullish\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-bullish-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-bullish-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 17l6-6 4 4 6-7\"\/><path d=\"M15 8h5v5\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 1 of 3<\/span>Bullish reversal<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close above 1.58775 would be required to shift the D1 structure toward a bullish framework, and it would also place price above the EMA50 at that same level.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>An H4 close above the H4 resistance at 1.57378 would confirm short-term tactical strength and open the way for a test of the first bullish target candidate at 1.59585.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>1.59585, 1.60165<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A rejection beneath the H4 resistance at 1.57378, followed by an H4 close back below the H4 support at 1.56908, would weaken the tactical bullish case and keep price contained by the larger bearish structure.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenario-base\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--base\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-base-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-base-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M8 8l-4 4 4 4\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 2 of 3<\/span>Base \/ neutral<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>Continued D1 closes between the primary support at 1.5655 and the primary resistance at 1.58775 would define a consolidation phase in which neither bulls nor bears secure control.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>H4 price oscillating around the H4 support at 1.56908 and the H4 resistance at 1.57378 would reflect short-term indecision, with the H4 momentum signals failing to produce a clean directional move.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>The base scenario range is bounded by the primary support at 1.5655 and the primary resistance at 1.58775.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close outside the 1.5655 to 1.58775 range would shift the base scenario toward one of the directional scenarios and end the range-bound interpretation.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"scenario-bearish\" class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card fxch-forecast-scenario-tone--bearish\" aria-labelledby=\"scenario-bearish-title\">\n<h3 class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__head\" id=\"scenario-bearish-title\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__icon\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 7l6 6 4-4 6 7\"\/><path d=\"M15 16h5v-5\"\/><\/svg><\/span><span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__eyebrow\">Scenario 3 of 3<\/span>Bearish continuation<\/span><\/h3>\n<dl>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>D1 confirmation<\/dt>\n<dd>A completed D1 close below the primary support at 1.5655 would confirm a structural break of the current D1 support and bring the secondary support at 1.55493 into focus.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row\">\n<dt>H4 tactical signal<\/dt>\n<dd>An H4 close below the H4 support at 1.56908 would signal that short-term buyers are losing control and would support the bearish scenario&#039;s move toward the bearish target candidate at 1.55493.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--targets\">\n<dt>Targets<\/dt>\n<dd>1.55493<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row fxch-forecast-scenario-card__row--failure\">\n<dt>Scenario failure condition<\/dt>\n<dd>An H4 close back above the H4 resistance at 1.57378, together with D1 closes that hold above the primary support at 1.5655, would keep the bearish scenario from advancing.<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--neutral\"><strong>Conditional interpretation:<\/strong> The bearish scenario is favoured by the D1 trend, price beneath all three D1 averages and falling longer-term slopes. It is not certain, because consecutive higher D1 closes, the bullish H4 state and mixed momentum offer credible resistance to that view. Each scenario should be read as conditional on the structural and tactical confirmations described above.<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"technical-analysis\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/CAD D1 Outlook and H4 Technical Triggers<\/h2>\n<p>The daily timeframe controls the weekly thesis. H4 evidence is used only for earlier confirmation, tactical warning and scenario-failure context. Complete live H4, H1 and intraday readings remain on the <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/technical\/\">Technical page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"ce-content-image fxch-forecast-article-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1680\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png\" class=\"ce-lightbox-trigger\" alt=\"EUR\/CAD D1 technical analysis chart\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"Open EUR\/CAD technical chart\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-full-src=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1680x960.png 1680w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/fxglory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/eurcad-d1-weekly-levels-for-11.11.2026-2048x1170.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1680px) 100vw, 1680px\" \/><figcaption>EUR\/CAD D1 technical-analysis context for the weekly forecast. Chart data captured 11 November 2026.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>D1 Price Action and Market Structure<\/h3>\n<p>The D1 close at 1.57376 sits above the primary support at 1.5655 and below the primary resistance at 1.58775, so price is operating inside the main weekly range. Consecutive higher closes show a recent recovery in closing progress, yet the close remains below the D1 EMA20, EMA50, SMA200 and Bollinger middle, which keeps the trend state bearish.<\/p>\n<h3>H4 Tactical Triggers<\/h3>\n<p>H4 provides short-term confirmation of recovery, with the close above the EMA20, EMA50 and Bollinger middle and an RSI of 63.49 above the midpoint. The H4 MACD line is above its signal line with a positive histogram, but the close remains just beneath the H4 resistance at 1.57378. H4 therefore supports a tactical upside test while leaving the D1 weekly thesis unchanged.<\/p>\n<h3>Technical Indicators at a Glance<\/h3>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum\">\n<div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__eyebrow\">Automated technical summary<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__text\">The automated technical state shows a bearish D1 trend, a bullish H4 tactical state, mixed momentum and stable volatility. Price sits above D1 primary support and below D1 primary resistance, while H4 has moved above its key averages but remains beneath its resistance.<\/p>\n<p><small class=\"fxch-forecast-techsum__meta\">Selected snapshot: D1 with H4 tactical context. Updated 11 November 2026.<\/small><\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-signals\" role=\"list\" aria-label=\"Indicator signals\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">RSI<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">43.79<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">MACD<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">Above signal<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--positive\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 17l6-6 4 4 8-8\"\/><path d=\"M15 7h6v6\"\/><\/svg>Bullish<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">Bollinger Bands<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">48% of band<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Lower half<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">Moving averages<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">Below both<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--negative\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>Bearish<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__name\">ATR<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-signals__value\">77.1 pips<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 9h16\"\/><path d=\"M4 15h16\"\/><\/svg>Stable<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator-grid\">\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">RSI <span>(14)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Neutral<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"RSI on a 0 to 100 scale. D1 is 43.79 (neutral) and H4 is 63.49 (neutral). Oversold is below 30 and overbought is above 70.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin\" style=\"--pos:43.8%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">D1 <b>43.79<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__track\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--alert\" style=\"width:30%\">Oversold<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:40%\">Neutral 30\u201370<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--alert\" style=\"width:30%\">Overbought<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin fxch-forecast-gauge__pin--below\" style=\"--pos:63.5%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">H4 <b>63.49<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">The D1 RSI below the midpoint supports the bearish weekly thesis and indicates that momentum has not returned to a bullish zone. The H4 RSI above the midpoint shows a short-term recovery, creating a clear timeframe disagreement that limits the strength of the weekly bias.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 RSI<\/dt>\n<dd>43.79<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>H4 RSI<\/dt>\n<dd>63.49<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">MACD <span>(12, 26, 9)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--positive\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 17l6-6 4 4 8-8\"\/><path d=\"M15 7h6v6\"\/><\/svg>Bullish momentum<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd\">\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__legend\" role=\"list\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key\"><\/span>MACD<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key fxch-forecast-macd__key--signal\"><\/span>Signal<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__key fxch-forecast-macd__key--hist\"><\/span>Histogram + \/ \u2212<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__plot\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__zero\" aria-hidden=\"true\">0<\/span><svg viewBox=\"0 0 300 120\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" role=\"img\" focusable=\"false\" aria-label=\"D1 MACD over the last 30 sessions. The MACD line at -0.007654 is above its signal line at -0.00901, with the histogram at 0.001357.\"><line class=\"is-zero\" x1=\"0\" x2=\"300\" y1=\"60\" y2=\"60\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"1.5\" y=\"56.4\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"11.5\" y=\"56.8\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"21.5\" y=\"56.3\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"31.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"41.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"1.5\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"51.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"61.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"4.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"71.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"5.6\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"81.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.8\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"91.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"101.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.8\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"111.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"121.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"7.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"131.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"141.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.3\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"151.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"7.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"161.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"8.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"171.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"9.5\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"181.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"11.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"191.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"12.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"201.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"12.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"211.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"13.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"221.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"13.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"231.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"10.9\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"241.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"10.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"251.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"7.1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-neg\" x=\"261.5\" y=\"60\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.2\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"271.5\" y=\"59.8\" width=\"7\" height=\"1\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos\" x=\"281.5\" y=\"56.2\" width=\"7\" height=\"3.8\" rx=\"1\"\/><rect class=\"is-pos is-latest\" x=\"291.5\" y=\"53.3\" width=\"7\" height=\"6.7\" rx=\"1\"\/><polyline class=\"is-signal\" points=\"5,63.4 15,62.6 25,61.6 35,61.7 45,62.1 55,62.8 65,63.9 75,65.2 85,66.9 95,68.5 105,70.2 115,72 125,73.9 135,75.6 145,77.1 155,79.1 165,81.3 175,83.6 185,86.4 195,89.4 205,92.6 215,95.9 225,99.2 235,101.9 245,104.4 255,106.2 265,107 275,106.9 285,106 295,104.3\"\/><polyline class=\"is-macd\" points=\"5,59.8 15,59.3 25,57.9 35,62.1 45,63.6 55,65.8 65,67.9 75,70.8 85,73.7 95,74.8 105,77 115,78.9 125,81.6 135,82.3 145,83.5 155,86.8 165,90 175,93.1 185,97.6 195,101.5 205,105.4 215,109 225,112.2 235,112.8 245,114.5 255,113.3 265,110.2 275,106.7 285,102.2 295,97.7\"\/><\/svg><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-macd__axis\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span>30 D1 sessions ago<\/span><span>Latest<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">On D1, the MACD line is above its signal line, but both lines remain negative and the histogram is positive. This suggests that bearish momentum is weakening at the margin rather than confirming a fresh downside leg, which is why momentum is classified as mixed. H4 MACD is also above its signal with a positive histogram, adding to the short-term recovery picture.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>MACD<\/dt>\n<dd>-0.007654<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Signal<\/dt>\n<dd>-0.00901<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Histogram<\/dt>\n<dd>0.001357<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">Bollinger Bands <span>(20, 2\u03c3)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--neutral\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 12h16\"\/><path d=\"M16 8l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg>Lower half<\/span><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge fxch-forecast-gauge--ticks\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Latest D1 close 1.57376 sits inside the Bollinger Bands, 48% of the way from the lower band at 1.55281 to the upper band at 1.59619.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__pin\" style=\"--pos:48.8%\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__label\">Close <b>1.57376<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__track\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--outside\" style=\"width:15%\"><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:35%\">Lower half<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone\" style=\"width:35%\">Upper half<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__zone fxch-forecast-gauge__zone--outside\" style=\"width:15%\"><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__ticks\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:15%\">Lower<b>1.55281<\/b><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:50%\">Middle<b>1.57450<\/b><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-gauge__tick\" style=\"--pos:85%\">Upper<b>1.59619<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__caption\">Striped ends = price outside the bands.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">On D1, the close sits beneath the Bollinger middle band, keeping the price in the lower half of the band structure and consistent with the bearish trend. On H4, the close is above the middle band, reflecting short-term strength. The D1 bands show price positioned between the lower and middle bands, so there is room for a rebound before the upper band becomes relevant.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>Position in band<\/dt>\n<dd>48%<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>Band width<\/dt>\n<dd>433.8 pips (2.76%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">Moving averages <span>(D1)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill fxch-forecast-pill--negative\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>Bearish structure<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__axis\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span>Price below average<\/span><span>Price above average<\/span><\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-ma\" role=\"list\">\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__row\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__name\">50 EMA <span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__slope\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>falling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__value\">1.58775<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__fill fxch-forecast-ma__fill--below\" style=\"--w:38.2%\"><\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__dist\">Price is <b>139.9 pips below<\/b> (-0.88%)<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__row\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__name\">200 SMA <span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__slope\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M3 7l6 6 4-4 8 8\"\/><path d=\"M15 17h6v-6\"\/><\/svg>falling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__value\">1.60333<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__fill fxch-forecast-ma__fill--below\" style=\"--w:80%\"><\/span><\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-ma__dist\">Price is <b>295.7 pips below<\/b> (-1.84%)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">The D1 moving averages are all above price, and the EMA50 and SMA200 are falling, which reinforces the bearish weekly framework. The EMA50 value coincides with the primary D1 resistance at 1.58775, making that level a meaningful point where the averages and structure align. On H4, price sits above both the EMA20 and EMA50, which underpins the short-term bullish tactical state.<\/p>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 close<\/dt>\n<dd>1.57376<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>50 EMA<\/dt>\n<dd>1.58775<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>200 SMA<\/dt>\n<dd>1.60333<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<article class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator fxch-forecast-indicator--wide\">\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__head\">\n<h4 class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__title\">ATR <span>(14)<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"fxch-forecast-pill\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M4 9h16\"\/><path d=\"M4 15h16\"\/><\/svg>Stable volatility<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__split\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range\" style=\"--gutter:9ch\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Typical move size around the latest close of 1.57376. One D1 ATR is 77.1 pips, spanning 1.56605 to 1.58147. One H4 ATR is 33.6 pips, spanning 1.57040 to 1.57712.\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__close\">Close <b>1.57376<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__cap\">Typical 1-day move <b>\u00b177.1 pips<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range__bar\" style=\"--w:1\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__lo\">1.56605<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__hi\">1.58147<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__cap\">Typical 4-hour move <b>\u00b133.6 pips<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-range__bar fxch-forecast-range__bar--h4\" style=\"--w:0.436\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__lo\">1.57040<\/span><span class=\"fxch-forecast-range__hi\">1.57712<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__caption\">One ATR either side of the latest close. A measure of move size, not a price target.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__text\">The stable volatility state indicates that the current trading environment is not showing a marked expansion or compression, so movement toward the levels is likely to develop at a normal pace. Volatility does not indicate a bullish or bearish direction on its own, and the directional case depends on the D1 structure and momentum evidence.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<dl class=\"fxch-forecast-indicator__values\">\n<div>\n<dt>D1 ATR<\/dt>\n<dd>0.00771 (0.49%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<dt>H4 ATR<\/dt>\n<dd>0.00336 (0.21%)<\/dd>\n<\/div>\n<\/dl>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Technical conclusion:<\/strong> The main thesis is bearish, anchored by the D1 trend, price beneath the D1 moving averages and falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes. The strongest supporting evidence is the D1 structure around the EMA50 at 1.58775, while the strongest counterargument is the combination of consecutive higher closes, a positive D1 MACD histogram and a bullish H4 state. The next important levels are the primary support at 1.5655 on the downside and the primary resistance at 1.58775 on the upside.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/technical\/\">View all live EUR\/CAD oscillators, moving averages, pivot points and timeframe signals<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"levels\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/CAD Weekly Support, Resistance and Invalidation<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap fxch-forecast-levels\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Level<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Timeframe<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Why it matters<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>1.5655<\/td>\n<td>Primary support<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>A completed D1 close below this level would confirm a structural break of the current D1 support and shift the weekly picture toward the bearish scenario.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.55493<\/td>\n<td>Secondary support and bearish target candidate<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>This is the next D1 support below the primary level and the bearish target candidate if the D1 support breaks.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.58775<\/td>\n<td>Primary resistance<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>It coincides with the D1 EMA50 and marks the boundary where a completed D1 close above would change the weekly structure against the forecast.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.59585<\/td>\n<td>Secondary resistance and first bullish target candidate<\/td>\n<td>D1<\/td>\n<td>This is the next D1 resistance above the primary level and the first bullish target candidate if upside structure develops.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.56908<\/td>\n<td>H4 support<\/td>\n<td>H4<\/td>\n<td>It defines the short-term tactical floor, and an H4 close below it would weaken the tactical recovery.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1.57378<\/td>\n<td>H4 resistance<\/td>\n<td>H4<\/td>\n<td>Price is just beneath this level, so an H4 close above it would confirm short-term tactical strength without changing the D1 weekly thesis.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>These are forecast-specific market-structure levels. Formula-based Classic, Fibonacci and Camarilla pivots remain on the <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/technical\/\">Technical page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"events\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Economic News &amp; Events to Watch for EUR\/CAD This Week<\/h2>\n<p>Selected events may increase EUR\/CAD volatility. Direction depends on the released value relative to consensus and previous results.<\/p>\n<p class=\"fxch-forecast-table-hint\">Scroll table sideways for more columns \u2192<\/p>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-table-wrap fxch-forecast-table-wrap--wide\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"Key economic events table\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Event<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Date and time<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Importance<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Previous<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Consensus<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"row\">ECB President Lagarde Speaks<\/th>\n<td>12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3<\/td>\n<td><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact fxch-forecast-impact--medium\"><span class=\"fxch-forecast-impact__bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span>Medium<\/span><\/td>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Calendar source: FXGlory economic calendar. Retrieved 08 Nov 2026 17:16 GMT+3. <a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/economic-calendar\/\">View the complete EUR\/CAD economic calendar<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/CAD Outlook for 8\u201314 November 2026<\/h2>\n<p>The weekly bias remains bearish because the D1 trend, the position of price beneath all three D1 averages and the falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes continue to lead the structure. The recent run of higher closes and a bullish H4 tactical state show that buyers are not absent, but they have not yet cleared the upper D1 structure.<\/p>\n<p>Momentum is mixed and the volatility environment is stable, so the bearish thesis is credible without being decisive. The Lagarde speech on 12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3 is a medium-impact event that could increase the speed of movement around the key levels, and the weekly picture should be reassessed if D1 closes break decisively through either primary boundary.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"risks\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Weekly Forecast Risks and What Would Change the Outlook<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--risk\"><strong>Main forecast risk:<\/strong> The main risk is that the bullish H4 recovery and recent higher D1 closes persist long enough to challenge the D1 structure at the primary resistance, keeping the weekly bias contested.<\/div>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-risks\">\n<li><strong>Timeframe disagreement between D1 and H4:<\/strong> The D1 trend is bearish while the H4 state is bullish, so short-term strength could develop without changing the controlling weekly structure, creating whipsaw risk around the H4 levels.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mixed momentum:<\/strong> The D1 MACD is above its signal line and the histogram is positive, which could mean bearish momentum is fading even though RSI remains below 50, weakening the strength of the bearish thesis.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Speech-related volatility:<\/strong> The medium-impact ECB speech on 12 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT+3 could produce a volatility spike that tests the D1 support and resistance zone without providing a guaranteed directional outcome.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Formal weekly invalidation:<\/strong> The bearish weekly thesis is formally invalidated by one completed D1 close above 1.58775. One completed D1 close below 1.56550 confirms lower structural extension and continuation.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"faq\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>EUR\/CAD Weekly Forecast FAQs<\/h2>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\" open>\n<summary>\n<h3>Is EUR\/CAD bullish or bearish this week?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The forecast bias is bearish. The D1 trend state, price below the D1 moving averages and falling EMA50 and SMA200 slopes drive the weekly view, while the H4 bullish state is treated as short-term context rather than as a reversal signal.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What scenario would strengthen for EUR\/CAD this week?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The primary scenario is a continuation of the bearish D1 framework, in which the market remains below the upper resistance and works toward the lower support zone. A genuine consolidation between the primary support and resistance remains a credible alternative, while a bullish move requires D1 structure to change before it can be treated as a weekly reversal.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What are the key EUR\/CAD support and resistance levels?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The key D1 levels are primary support at 1.5655, secondary support at 1.55493, primary resistance at 1.58775 and secondary resistance at 1.59585. On H4, the reference support is 1.56908 and the resistance is 1.57378, which define the short-term tactical range.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<details class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__item\" name=\"fxch-forecast-faq\">\n<summary>\n<h3>What would invalidate this EUR\/CAD forecast?<\/h3>\n<\/summary>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-faq__answer\">\n<p>The bearish weekly thesis is formally invalidated by one completed D1 close above 1.58775.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"methodology\" class=\"fxch-forecast-section\">\n<h2>Methodology, Data and Sources<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-source-list\">\n<li><strong>Price-data source:<\/strong> FXGlory price feed (EURCAD)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Live quote timestamp:<\/strong> 11 Nov 2026 06:40 GMT+3<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weekly analysis timestamp:<\/strong> 8 November 2026<\/li>\n<li><strong>Chart timestamp:<\/strong> 11 November 2026 (redrawn daily)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Daily check:<\/strong> Every day at 04:00 GMT+3: the latest completed D1 close is checked against the invalidation levels and the chart is redrawn.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Technical snapshot timestamp:<\/strong> 8 November 2026<\/li>\n<li><strong>Calendar-data source:<\/strong> FXGlory economic calendar<\/li>\n<li><strong>Calendar retrieval timestamp:<\/strong> 08 Nov 2026 17:16 GMT+3<\/li>\n<li><strong>Candle convention:<\/strong> FXGlory D1 and H4 candles; D1 candle dates are evaluated in UTC and invalidation uses completed D1 closes only.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indicator settings:<\/strong> D1 RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), Bollinger Bands(20,2), EMA(50), SMA(200), ATR(14); H4 RSI\/MACD\/Bollinger\/EMA\/ATR.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Level-selection method:<\/strong> Weekly D1 support\/resistance levels are structural market levels. Formal invalidation uses a hard 1.00\u00d7 D1 ATR(14) minimum anchor distance plus a 0.00\u00d7 D1 ATR(14) outward buffer; H4 levels are tactical only.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weekly forecast method:<\/strong> D1 controls the weekly thesis; H4 supplies tactical confirmation\/warning only.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div><strong>Primary and supporting sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"fxch-forecast-source-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/historical-data\/\">Historical EUR\/CAD price data<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/technical\/\">Live EUR\/CAD technical indicators<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/forex-market\/currency-pairs\/eur-cad\/economic-calendar\/\">EUR\/CAD economic calendar<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"fxch-forecast-callout fxch-forecast-callout--neutral\"><strong>Timestamp policy:<\/strong> the live quote and the D1 chart update automatically during the week. The completed D1 reference close, indicator snapshot and authored conclusions remain tied to the completed D1 candle used for authoring unless the article receives a genuine substantive update.<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<footer class=\"fxch-forecast-footer-note\">\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> This EUR\/CAD analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a personalized recommendation, an offer to trade or a guarantee of future performance. Forecasts are uncertain, market conditions can change rapidly and leveraged trading can result in substantial losses.<\/p>\n<p>Verify the latest price and consider your circumstances and risk tolerance before making financial decisions.<\/p>\n<\/footer>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/CAD carries a bearish weekly bias because the D1 trend, price below the SMA200 and falling moving averages control the thesis, though H4 has turned bullish and D1 momentum is mixed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":43252,"template":"","market_instrument":[80],"market_content_type":[44],"class_list":["post-57813","market_article","type-market_article","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_instrument-eur-cad","market_content_type-forecast"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article\/57813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_article\/57813\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43252"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_instrument","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_instrument?post=57813"},{"taxonomy":"market_content_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fxglory.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_content_type?post=57813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}